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Who improved, who hurt chances in 2023 NFL Draft order coming out of Week 15

The 2023 NFL Draft first round order is seeing some movement in the top ten heading toward Week 16.

Denver Broncos quarterback Brett Rypien (4) in an offensive group huddle during an NFL preseason football game against the Los Angeles Rams on August 24, 2019 at the Los Angeles Memorial Coliseum in Los Angeles, Calif. Photo by Ric Tapia/Icon Sportswire via Getty Images

The NFL is working its way through Week 15, and the Texans have a chance to move one step closer to locking down the No. 1 pick in the 2023 NFL Draft. A week after nearly upsetting the Cowboys, Houston gets another tough matchup as they host the AFC West leading Chiefs. Kansas City can clinch the division title with a win.

The Texans are a week or two away from clinching the No. 1 pick in next year’s NFL Draft, but the rest of the top ten is not nearly so settled. One game (and a tie) separates the Broncos at No. 2 from the Colts at No. 7. Following that group, six teams entered Week 15 tied with 5-8 records, including the Raiders, Panthers, Falcons, Jaguars, Steelers, and Packers.

Week 15 opened with significant playoff implications between Thursday and Saturday. Sunday and Monday offer matchups with draft pick implications for both teams. The 5-8 Falcons and 4-9 Saints are in the NFC South race, but also right in the draft pick race. Steelers-Panthers features a pair of 5-8 teams and Monday Night Football will see the 5-8 Packers host the 4-9 Rams. Arguably the biggest game will see the 3-10 Broncos host the 4-9 Cardinals.

1 p.m. window update

For a second straight weekend, the Texans put the fear of God in a playoff contender. They led much of the day against the Chiefs and forced overtime. A turnover in OT cost them but it was another strong showing. Elsewhere, the Bears gave the Eagles a tough time late, but lost 25-20 and for now hold the No. 2 pick, pending the outcome of Broncos-Cardinals.

4 p.m. window update

The afternoon window saw the Broncos beat the Cardinals and settle into the No. 3 spot while Arizona moved to No. 5. The Patriots lost a stunner in Las Vegas to drop out of the playoff picture and move into the top 18.

Here’s the complete 2023 NFL Draft order. The first 18 picks are teams that would currently miss the playoffs. A division leader has a lower draft position than a non-playoff or wild card team with a better record because of the nature of playoff seeding. SOS serves as the tiebreaker and comes via Tankathon.

  1. Houston Texans, 1-12-1, .504
  2. Chicago Bears, 3-11, .574
  3. Denver Broncos (Seahawks have pick), 4-10, .483
  4. Los Angeles Rams (Lions have pick), 4-10, .500
  5. Arizona Cardinals, 4-10, .517
  6. Indianapolis Colts, 4-9-1, .508
  7. Atlanta Falcons, 5-9, .447
  8. Carolina Panthers, 5-9, .452
  9. New Orleans Saints (Eagles have pick), 5-9, .496
  10. Las Vegas Raiders, 6-8, .454
  11. Jacksonville Jaguars, 6-8, .492
  12. Cleveland Browns (Texans have pick), 6-8, .508
  13. Pittsburgh Steelers, 6-8, .536
  14. Green Bay Packers, 6-8, .550
  15. Seattle Seahawks, 7-7, .456
  16. New England Patriots, 7-7, .523
  17. New York Jets, 7-7, .534
  18. Detroit Lions, 7-7, .546
  19. Tampa Bay Buccaneers, 6-8, .475
  20. Tennessee Titans, 7-7, .500
  21. Washington Commanders, 7-6-1, .546
  22. Los Angeles Chargers, 8-6, .441
  23. Miami Dolphins (Forfeit pick due to tampering), 8-6, .536
  24. New York Giants, 8-5-1, .538
  25. Baltimore Ravens, 9-5, .490
  26. San Francisco 49ers (Broncos have pick), 10-4, .414
  27. Cincinnati Bengals, 10-4, .521
  28. Dallas Cowboys, 10-4, .521
  29. Kansas City Chiefs, 11-3, .450
  30. Minnesota Vikings, 11-3, .494
  31. Buffalo Bills, 11-3, .521
  32. Philadelphia Eagles, 13-1, .475