Update 4:04 p.m. Though the Frogs fell in overtime 31-28, you have to feel good about their chances in the College Football Playoff. They played a fantastic team to basically a draw with a partially-maimed quarterback, and were mere inches from scoring in overtime to extend the game.
While now we’ll have controversy, it certainly feels like TCU will still be one of the four teams taken on Sunday.
Update 3:54 p.m. With the Horned Frogs coming all the way back to tie it at 28-28 in overtime, they have shown themselves to be one of the best teams in the country. Even with a loss today, it would be hard to put Alabama or USC over them.
Win or lose the Big 12 Championship, we will likely see HypnoToad in the College Football Playoff.
Update 3:07 p.m. The Horned Frogs trail 28-17 with 10 minutes remaining in the fourth quarter, with two turnovers a huge difference in the game.
Max Duggan’s interception while attempting to hit Quentin Washington on a fade in the end zone was a big one, but this is also a Kansas State team that the computers actually had as a favorite today. For that reason the spread at DraftKings Sportsbook closed as K-State a one-point favorite.
So TCU has played well, but it might not be enough to keep them ahead of Alabama. This is going to come down to the eye of the CFP Selection Committee.
Update: TCU currently trails Kansas State 14-10 at the half.
No. 3 TCU is about to embark on the biggest game in program history at the top of the hour when facing No. 10 Kansas State in the Big 12 Championship Game. The stakes for the Horned Frogs could not be any more clear. Win this game and you officially clinch a spot in the College Football Playoff. Lose this game and, well, things start to get complicated.
The Horned Frogs ran the table through the regular season in the Big 12 and the committee has shown their respect by ranking slotting them in the top four for the past four weeks. However, a loss to K-State at AT&T Stadium this afternoon would drop TCU to 12-1 on the season and its status for the College Football Playoff would be up for debate heading into Sunday’s selection show. Would the team be punished for an ill-timed loss? Or would its overall resume be strong enough to earn a trip to the big dance?
Fortunately for TCU, USC’s loss in the Pac-12 Championship Game helped them out in this scenario as Ohio State will most likely claim a spot. That means it would come down to them and a two-loss Alabama squad. Even with preconceived notions of SEC bias, the Horned Frogs would have a stronger case against the Tide than the Buckeyes in this scenario, as it at least made the conference championship game in a competitive Power Five conference.
TCU could, of course, remove all doubt with a win at Jerry World today. We’ll see what happens.