What 2023 NFL Draft order looks like coming out of Week 13

We have made it to Week 13 of the NFL season. There is a loaded slate of games that have playoff implications. While some teams are looking to make that playoff push with only five weeks to go, other teams are likely accepting their fates and turning their attention to the 2023 NFL Draft.

The Houston Texans will retain the No. 1 overall pick heading into Week 14 regardless of their result against the Cleveland Browns on Sunday. The Chicago Bears will face the Green Bay Packers, who find themselves in unfamiliar territory in the projected top 10. A win this week will help one team pick up a needed divisional win, but the loss just helps the other team have a projected higher draft pick come April. Both the Denver Broncos and Los Angeles Rams have conference matchups in Week 13 that they are the underdog in. Their picks should remain in the projected top 5 heading into next week, but don’t forget that they traded away those picks.

1 p.m. window update

The Texans “handled their business” on Sunday, losing 27-14 to the Browns. They have a two-game lead for the No. 1 pick and it seems unlikely that changes much. The Bears lost to the Packers, giving up 18 points in the fourth quarter in the 28-19 loss. Chicago is unlikely to secure the No. 1 pick, but they’re firming up their chances at a top five pick. The most notable top ten change is the Jaguars improving their position with an ugly loss in Detroit.

4 p.m. window update

We didn’t see much high pick movement in the afternoon window. The Raiders climbed out of the top ten with their win over the Chargers.

Sunday Night Football update

The Cowboys are thumping the Colts, but it will actually have zero impact on the draft order outside of changing stretch of schedule numbers.

Monday Night Football update

The Bucs came back to beat the Saints which improves their pick for the Eagles. The Saints pick has now climbed into the top five.

Here’s the complete 2023 NFL Draft order. The first 18 picks are teams that would currently miss the playoffs. A division leader has a lower draft position than a non-playoff or wild card team with a better record because of the nature of playoff seeding. SOS serves as the tiebreaker and comes via Tankathon.

1. Houston Texans, 1-10-1, .505
2. Chicago Bears, 3-10, .575
3. Denver Broncos (Seahawks have pick), 3-9, .478
4. Los Angeles Rams (Lions have pick), 3-8, .498
5. New Orleans Saints (Eagles have pick), 4-9, .505
6. Carolina Panthers, 4-8, .450
7. Jacksonville Jaguars, 4-8, .502
8. Arizona Cardinals, 4-8, .510
9. Indianapolis Colts, 4-8-1, .507
10. Atlanta Falcons, 5-8, .445
11. Green Bay Packers, 5-8, .565
12. Las Vegas Raiders, 5-7, .437
13. Cleveland Browns (Texans have pick), 5-7, .512
14. Pittsburgh Steelers, 5-7, .539
15. Detroit Lions, 5-7, .555
16. Los Angeles Chargers, 6-6, .442
17. New England Patriots, 6-6, .534
18. Washington Commanders, 7-5-1, .543
19. Tampa Bay Buccaneers, 6-6, .464
20. Seattle Seahawks, 7-5, .444
21. Tennessee Titans, 7-5, .481
22. New York Jets, 7-5, .529
23. New York Giants, 7-4-1, .545
24. Miami Dolphins (Forfeit pick due to tampering), 8-4, .527
25. San Francisco 49ers (Broncos have pick), 8-4, .425
26. Baltimore Ravens, 8-4, .483
27. Cincinnati Bengals, 8-4, .534
28. Dallas Cowboys, 9-3, .522
29. Kansas City Chiefs, 9-3, .439
30. Minnesota Vikings, 10-2, .491
31. Buffalo Bills, 9-3, .534
32. Philadelphia Eagles, 11-1, .481