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Along with the rest of the AFC West, the Denver Broncos made transformative moves this offseason. After years of poor play under center, the team committed to improving the quarterback position, nearly landing reigning MVP Aaron Rodgers before ultimately acquiring Russell Wilson. Along with other changes, the Broncos look as talented as they have since their victory in Super Bowl 50.
Let’s take a look at the latest DraftKings Sportsbook lines and predict if the Broncos can surpass their 2022 win total of 10.
2022 Broncos schedule with odds
Broncos schedule/odds
| Week | Date | Opponent | Spread |
|---|---|---|---|
| Week | Date | Opponent | Spread |
| 1 | Sep. 12 | at Seattle Seahawks (MNF) | -4 |
| 2 | Sep. 18 | Houston Texans | -10.5 |
| 3 | Sep. 25 | San Francisco 49ers | -2.5 |
| 4 | Oct. 2 | at Las Vegas Raiders | pk |
| 5 | Oct. 6 | Indianapolis Colts (TNF) | -3 |
| 6 | Oct. 17 | at Los Angeles Chargers (MNF) | +3 |
| 7 | Oct. 23 | New York Jets | -7.5 |
| 8 | Oct. 30 | vs Jacksonville Jaguars (Wembley) | -6.5 |
| 9 | BYE | ||
| 10 | Nov. 13 | at Tennessee Titans | pk |
| 11 | Nov. 20 | Las Vegas Raiders | -3 |
| 12 | Nov. 27 | at Carolina Panthers | -4 |
| 13 | Dec. 4 | at Baltimore Ravens | +1.5 |
| 14 | Dec. 11 | Kansas City Chiefs | pk |
| 15 | Dec. 18 | Arizona Cardinals | -4 |
| 16 | Dec. 25 | at Los Angeles Rams | +3.5 |
| 17 | Jan. 1 | at Kansas City Chiefs | +4.5 |
| 18 | Jan. 7/8 | Los Angeles Chargers | pk |
| . | |||
| Implied record | 9-4-3 |
Why the Broncos will go over their win total
In the Broncos’ post-Peyton Manning period, the quarterback position has provided their primary obstacle. Denver’s cavalcade of mediocrity under center has included Trevor Siemian, Case Keenum, Joe Flacco, and host of other easily forgettable signal-callers. Against that backdrop, Wilson’s arrival looks like a genuinely transformational move. Not only does he provide the offense with a stabilizing presence, but he should also help lift a talented receiving corps that has previously underachieved. That alone should net the team a few additional wins, not to mention the improvements made in the front-seven.
Why the Broncos will go under their win total
The Kansas City Chiefs might have traded Tyreek Hill this offseason, but they remain one of the Super Bowl front-runners in the conference. Meanwhile, the Los Angeles Chargers elevated the AFC West into an arms race with the acquisitions of J.C. Jackson, Khalil Mack, and Sebastian Joseph-Day. The Broncos have the talent to compete with either team, but can they win more than half of those matchups?
Prediction
For all the progress the Broncos made this offseason, their direct competition made comparable or superior improvements. By consensus, the Chiefs and Chargers possess superior rosters and have returning coaching staffs. And while the Las Vegas Raiders trail the AFC West in win total, they come off a playoff appearance and remain competitive. The team that wins this division might only have 10 or 11 wins and, unless one believes Denver will take the crown, the under looks like the smarter play.
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