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Pick on the Total of Yankees-Astros for Thursday

VSiN’s Greg Peterson goes over the best betting options for Thursday’s matchup between the New York Yankees and Houston Astros.

MLB: Houston Astros at New York Mets Brad Penner-USA TODAY Sports

Following the Houston Astros and New York Yankees’ recent exciting four-game series in New York, the American League’s top two teams in terms of record will square off one more time in Houston on Thursday.

New York Yankees (-115, 8) vs. Houston Astros

These are the top two MLB teams in bullpen ERA. They will look to pitchers with some sizable home and road splits to balance those out on Thursday.

Last season, Astros starter Luis Garcia had a 4.24 ERA on the road, compared to a 2.73 at home. This season, it’s been the opposite, as he’s posted a 5.18 home ERA and a 2.37 ERA on the road.

Garcia should have his splits balance out with his strikeout to walk rate 4.2 at home versus 3.6 on the road and a similar batting average home to road, with opponents hitting .218 off of him in Houston compared to .211 on the road.

Luis Severino gets the start for the Yankees. He’s looking to get his 4.61 road ERA down closer to his 2.62 home ERA and should since opponents are hitting .216 off of him at home compared to .202 on the road.

The Astros have the league’s highest under percentage with over 66% of their games going under the total, and with Houston’s top slugger, Yordan Alvarez, likely unavailable on Thursday, this one-off series sets up to be another low-scoring affair.

The Play: Yankees vs. Astros Under 8

LISTEN NOW: VSiN’s Greg Peterson breaks down every game every day on The Baseball Betting Show.

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