The Philadelphia Phillies and Atlanta Braves have been two of the hottest teams in baseball since June, with both winning at least 63% of their games in this span, and each will send an ace to the mound in Philadelphia for Tuesday’s big showdown.
Atlanta Braves (-125, 7.5) vs. Philadelphia Phillies
Aaron Nola gets the start for the Phillies, and while his ERA this season is 4.15 at home compared to 2.30 on the road, he’s done his best work at home throughout his career. He has a career 3.22 ERA in Philadelphia compared to a 4.03 road ERA, and opponents have a career average of .216 off Nola at home versus .242 on the road.
The Phillies bullpen has been significantly better recently, registering a 2.47 ERA since June 22, the lowest in the National League, while the Braves are 11th in this span.
The Braves counter with Spencer Strider, who’s 13.8 strikeouts per nine innings rate is the best for any pitcher that has thrown at least 50 innings this season. But, he is issuing 3.6 walks per nine innings. Since getting elevated to a starting role in late May, Strider has seen his ERA jump, posting a 3.42 ERA in starts compared to a 2.22 ERA out of the bullpen, and the Braves have lost four of his last six starts.
The Braves have allowed at least four runs in six of their last nine games and won’t have enough offense to get past Nola and the Phillies.
The Play: Phillies +105
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