Cleveland Guardians vs. Minnesota Twins (-110, 7.5)
The Guardians turn to Cal Quantrill, who has been an innings eater, going at least six in six of his last seven starts. But he has also allowed at least three runs in seven of his last 13 starts and has been pitching to contact, posting a career-low six strikeouts per nine innings.
His counterpart, Dylan Bundy, is also registering a career-low in strikeouts per nine innings (6.4). But despite pitching to so much contact, he has allowed two runs or fewer in six straight starts after posting an ERA above 5.00 through July.
The Guardians offense has been better on the road than at home, averaging 4.4 runs per game on the road versus 3.9 at home. They also have 65 road home runs and just 37 at home, which is the biggest percentage differential between home and road power among American League teams.
The Twins bullpen enters Friday taxed, having been used for 13 1/3 innings in the final two days of their series vs. the Yankees. Minnesota is also 17th among MLB teams in bullpen ERA since the beginning of July.
With a pair of starting pitchers that give up loads of contact and the Twins entering having plated at least four runs in five of their last six games, this pivotal American League Central series will start with lots of runs scored.
The Play: Guardians vs. Twins Over 7.5
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