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Can Patriots still make the playoffs after Week 17 win over Dolphins?

We go over the Patriots’ chances to make the postseason going into their Week 17 game against the Dolphins.

FOXBOROUGH, MASSACHUSETTS - DECEMBER 24: Mac Jones #10 of the New England Patriots looks down field during the second half against the Cincinnati Bengals at Gillette Stadium on December 24, 2022 in Foxborough, Massachusetts. Photo by Nick Grace/Getty Images

Sunday night update: The Patriots have a playoff route that included a Steelers loss if New England can’t win out. Things get a little righter for the Patriots, but they still make the playoffs with a win over the Bills.

Results update: The Patriots picked up a big win against the Dolphins, 23-21. The Patriots move ahead of the Dolphins and now control their own destiny heading into a Week 18 road game against the Bills. The Jets lost to the Seahawks and the Raiders lost to the 49ers, so the Pats could still get in with a Week 18 loss if Miami and Pittsburgh both lose and Jacksonville wins in Week 18.


The New England Patriots have seen their playoff chances take a dip as they head into their Week 17 matchup versus the Miami Dolphins. Kickoff is set for 1:00 p.m. ET with the Patriots a 2.5-point favorite at DraftKings Sportsbook.

Patriots playoff chances

Record: 7-8
Odds to make playoffs: Yes +650, No -1100
Remaining opponents: Week 17 vs. Dolphins, Week 18 @ Bills

Miraculously the Patriots still have a shot at the postseason in spite of their uninspiring 7-8 record, but it will take some work. All the Patriots have to do to secure the third wild card spot and No. 7 seed is win their final two games, at home against the Dolphins this week and on the road against the Bills in Week 18. Essentially, New England controls its own destiny but winning its last two games of the season won’t be an easy feat.

Tua Tagovailoa may not suit up versus the Patriots in Week 17, but if he were to it is notable to mention that he is 4-0 against New England, and Bill Belichick, in his career. Beating the Bills is no small feat, and that is by no means a secret either. Buffalo has a three-game win streak over New England and five wins in the last six matchups of this rivalry.

Current playoff standings

Wild card

6. Chargers, 9-6
7. Dolphins, 8-7

8. Patriots, 7-8
9. Titans, 7-8
10. Jets, 7-8
11. Steelers, 7-8
12. Raiders, 6-9