The Milwaukee Brewers struck first behind a strong Wade Miley start on Friday night, and now Mike Trout and the Los Angeles Angels will look to even this three-game set on Saturday at American Family Field. First pitch is set for 7:10 p.m. ET. Reid Detmers (0-1, 4.15 ERA) will go for the Halos, while ace Corbin Burnes (2-1, 4.55) takes the hill for Milwaukee.
The Brewers are currently -145 on the moneyline at DraftKings Sportsbook, while the Angels are +125 underdogs. The run total is set at 8.5.
Angels-Brewers picks: Saturday, April 29
Day to day: RP Jose Quijada (elbow)
Out: C Logan O’Hoppe (shoulder), RP Chris Warren (elbow), RP Ryan Tepera (shoulder), 1B Jared Walsh (headaches/insomnia), C Max Stassi (hip)
Out: OF Garrett Mitchell (shoulder), SP Brandon Woodruff (shoulder), OF Tyrone Taylor (elbow), SP/RP Adrian Houser (groin), INF Luis Urias (hamstring), SP Aaron Ashby (shoulder), RP Matt Bush (shoulder), RP Gus Varland (hand)
Reid Detmers vs. Corbin Burnes
Detmers’ numbers aren’t eye-popping, but the young lefty has allowed two or fewer runs with six or more strikeouts in three of four outings so far this season. He’s got big swing-and-miss potential, especially if he continues to lean heavily on his slider — he threw the pitch a whopping 57 percent of the time in his last start against the Kansas City Royals, and it’s getting whiffs at a 35 percent clip. He could be in for a big day against a Brewers offense that’s been abysmal against southpaws this year.
Burnes is starting to round into form after a slow start, although walks and puzzling lack of strikeouts continue to plague him — his K rate has dropped from 30.5 percent in 2022 to 19.5 percent this year. His curveball and changeup are still producing a ton of weak contact even if they’re not producing as many swings and misses, though, so there doesn’t seem to be too much reason for worry.
Both of these pitchers seem to match up well against lineups that will be at a platoon disadvantage, so I’m going with the under after Friday’s game saw just three total runs.
Pick: Under 8.5
Detmers could feast against a Brewers team with the highest strikeout rate in baseball against lefty pitchers, and Mike Trout and Shohei Ohtani should do just enough to pull out a pitcher’s duel.