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History of Super Bowl point spreads up to Super Bowl 55

We take a look at how Tim Brady has performed as a favorite and underdog in the Super Bowl ahead of the Buccaneers’ matchup against the Chiefs.

Tom Brady of the New England Patriots talks with Patrick Mahomes of the Kansas City Chiefs after the Chief defeat the Patriots 23-16 at Gillette Stadium on December 08, 2019 in Foxborough, Massachusetts. Photo by Maddie Meyer/Getty Images

The Kansas City Chiefs and Tampa Bay Buccaneers are set to face off in Super Bowl 55 on Feb. 7 and oddsmakers expect to get a close game between the reigning champs and the resurgent Buccaneers. The Chiefs open as 3-point favorites on DraftKings Sportsbook ahead of the game, which will take place at Tampa Bay’s own Raymond James Stadium. The point total is installed 56.5. Can Kansas City win and cover the spread despite the opposition’s home-field advantage? Let’s take a look at some of the more notable performances we’ve seen from underdogs in the Super Bowl in recent years, courtesy of Sports Odds History.

Buccaneers quarterback Tom Brady is used to being the top dog but has also been on the receiving end of an upset. His New England Patriots were favored by 12.5 points in Super Bowl 42 against the New York Giants and ended up falling short in a 17-14 loss. He was also a 14-point underdog in his first-ever Super Bowl appearance against the Los Angeles Rams in 2002. His Pats came away with a 20-17 victory in that matchup.

Chiefs signal-caller Patrick Maholmes has limited playoff performance but helped his team cover the spread as two-point favorites in Super Bowl 54. Kansas City claimed an 11-point victory over the San Francisco 49ers.

It’ll be interesting to see which side will prevail with odds this close. Here’s a look at the opening spreads and point totals for recent Super Bowls.

History of Super Bowl odds

Season/ SB Num Date Favorite (seed) Spread Underdog (seed) Over/ Under Winning Team Score ATS Result
Season/ SB Num Date Favorite (seed) Spread Underdog (seed) Over/ Under Winning Team Score ATS Result
2019 LIV 02/02/20 Kansas City Chiefs (2) -2 San Francisco 49ers (1) 53 Kansas City Chiefs 31-20 Favorite- Under
2018 LIII 02/03/19 New England Patriots (2) -2.5 Los Angeles Rams (2) 56 New England Patriots 13-3 Favorite- Under
2017 LII 02/04/18 New England Patriots (1) -4 Philadelphia Eagles (1) 49.5 Philadelphia Eagles 41-33 Underdog- Over
2016 LI 02/05/17 New England Patriots (1) -3 Atlanta Falcons (2) 57 New England Patriots 34-28 Favorite- Over
2015 50 02/06/16 Carolina Panthers (1) -5 Denver Broncos (1) 43.5 Denver Broncos 24-10 Underdog- Under
2014 XLIX 02/01/15 Seattle Seahawks (1) -1 New England Patriots (1) 47.5 New England Patriots 28-24 Underdog- Over
2013 XLVIII 02/02/14 Denver Broncos (1) -2.5 Seattle Seahawks (1) 47.5 Seattle Seahawks 43-8 Underdog- Over
2012 XLVII 02/03/13 San Francisco 49ers (2) -4.5 Baltimore Ravens (4) 47.5 Baltimore Ravens 34-31 Underdog- Over
2011 XLVI 02/05/12 New England Patriots (1) -3 New York Giants (4) 53 New York Giants 21-17 Underdog- Under
2010 XLV 02/06/11 Green Bay Packers (6) -3 Pittsburgh Steelers (2) 45 Green Bay Packers 31-25 Favorite- Over
2009 XLIV 02/07/10 Indianapolis Colts (1) -4.5 New Orleans Saints (1) 56.5 New Orleans Saints 31-17 Underdog- Under
2008 XLIII 02/01/09 Pittsburgh Steelers (2) -6.5 Arizona Cardinals (4) 46.5 Pittsburgh Steelers 27-23 Underdog- Over
2007 XLII 02/03/08 New England Patriots (1) -12.5 New York Giants (5) 54.5 New York Giants 17-14 Underdog- Under
2006 XLI 02/04/07 Indianapolis Colts (3) -6.5 Chicago Bears (1) 47 Indianapolis Colts 29-17 Favorite- Under
2005 XL 02/05/06 Pittsburgh Steelers (6) -4 Seattle Seahawks (1) 47 Pittsburgh Steelers 21-10 Favorite- Under
2004 XXXIX 02/06/05 New England Patriots (2) -7 Philadelphia Eagles (1) 47 New England Patriots 24-21 Underdog- Under
2003 XXXVIII 02/01/04 New England Patriots (1) -7 Carolina Panthers (3) 38 New England Patriots 32-29 Underdog- Over
2002 XXXVII 01/26/03 Oakland Raiders (1) -3.5 Tampa Bay Buccaneers (2) 44 Tampa Bay Buccaneers 48-21 Underdog- Over
2001 XXXVI 02/03/02 St Louis Rams (1) -14 New England Patriots (2) 53 New England Patriots 20-17 Underdog- Under
2000 XXXV 01/28/01 Baltimore Ravens (4) -3 New York Giants (1) 33.5 Baltimore Ravens 34-7 Favorite- Over
1999 XXXIV 01/30/00 St Louis Rams (1) -7 Tennessee Titans (4) 48 St Louis Rams 23-16 Push- Under
1998 XXXIII 01/31/99 Denver Broncos (1) -7.5 Atlanta Falcons (2) 51.5 Denver Broncos 34-19 Favorite- Over
1997 XXXIII 01/25/98 Green Bay Packers (2) -11.5 Denver Broncos (4) 49 Denver Broncos 31-24 Underdog- Over
1996 XXXI 01/26/97 Green Bay Packers (1) -14 New England Patriots (2) 49 Green Bay Packers 35-21 Push- Over
1995 XXX 01/28/96 Dallas Cowboys (1) -13.5 Pittsburgh Steelers (2) 52 Dallas Cowboys 27-17 Underdog- Under
1994 XXIX 01/29/95 San Francisco 49ers (1) -18 San Diego Chargers (2) 54 San Francisco 49ers 49-26 Favorite- Over
1993 XXVIII 01/30/94 Dallas Cowboys (1) -10.5 Buffalo Bills (1) 50.5 Dallas Cowboys 30-13 Favorite- Under
1992 XXVII 01/31/93 Dallas Cowboys (2) -6 Buffalo Bills (4) 45 Dallas Cowboys 52-17 Favorite- Over
1991 XXVI 01/26/92 Washington Redskins (1) -7.5 Buffalo Bills (1) 49 Washington Redskins 37-24 Favorite- Over
1990 XXV 01/27/91 Buffalo Bills (1) -6.5 New York Giants (2) 40.5 New York Giants 20-19 Underdog- Under
1989 XXIV 01/28/90 San Francisco 49ers (1) -11.5 Denver Broncos (1) 47 San Francisco 49ers 55-10 Favorite- Over
1988 XXIII 01/22/89 San Francisco 49ers (2) -7 Cincinnati Bengals (1) 47.5 San Francisco 49ers 20-16 Underdog- Under
1987 XXII 01/31/88 Denver Broncos (1) -3 Washington Redskins (3) 47 Washington Redskins 42-10 Underdog- Over
1986 XXI 01/25/87 New York Giants (1) -8.5 Denver Broncos (2) 40.5 New York Giants 39-20 Favorite- Over
1985 XX 01/26/86 Chicago Bears (1) -10 New England Patriots (5) 37 Chicago Bears 46-10 Favorite- Over
1984 XIX 01/20/85 San Francisco 49ers (1) -3.5 Miami Dolphins (1) 53.5 San Francisco 49ers 38-16 Favorite- Over
1983 XVIII 01/22/84 Washington Redskins (1) -3 Los Angeles Raiders (1) 48 Los Angeles Raiders 38-9 Underdog- Under
1982 XVII 01/30/83 Miami Dolphins (2) -3 Washington Redskins (1) 36.5 Washington Redskins 27-17 Underdog- Over
1981 XVI 01/24/82 San Francisco 49ers (1) -1 Cincinnati Bengals (1) 48 San Francisco 49ers 26-21 Favorite- Under
1980 XV 01/25/81 Philadelphia Eagles (2) -3 Oakland Raiders (4) 37.5 Oakland Raiders 27-10 Underdog- Under
1979 XIV 01/20/80 Pittsburgh Steelers (2) -10.5 Los Angeles Rams (3) 36 Pittsburgh Steelers 31-19 Favorite- Over
1978 XIII 01/21/79 Pittsburgh Steelers (1) -3.5 Dallas Cowboys (2) 37 Pittsburgh Steelers 35-31 Favorite- Over
1977 XII 01/15/78 Dallas Cowboys (1) -6 Denver Broncos (1) 39 Dallas Cowboys 27-10 Favorite- Under
1976 XI 01/09/77 Oakland Raiders (1) -4 Minnesota Vikings (1) 38 Oakland Raiders 32-14 Favorite- Over
1975 X 01/18/76 Pittsburgh Steelers (1) -7 Dallas Cowboys (4) 36 Pittsburgh Steelers 21-17 Underdog- Over
1974 IX 01/12/75 Pittsburgh Steelers (3) -3 Minnesota Vikings (1) 33 Pittsburgh Steelers 16-6 Favorite- Under
1973 VIII 01/13/74 Miami Dolphins (1) -6.5 Minnesota Vikings (1) 33 Miami Dolphins 24-7 Favorite- Under
1972 VII 01/14/73 Miami Dolphins (1) -1 Washington Redskins (1) 33 Miami Dolphins 14-7 Favorite- Under
1971 VI 01/16/72 Dallas Cowboys (2) -6 Miami Dolphins (2) 34 Dallas Cowboys 24-3 Favorite- Under
1970 V 01/17/71 Baltimore Colts (1) -2.5 Dallas Cowboys (3) 36 Baltimore Colts 16-13 Favorite- Under
1969 IV 01/11/70 Minnesota Vikings (1) -12 Kansas City Chiefs (3) 39 Kansas City Chiefs 23-7 Underdog- Under
1968 III 01/12/69 Baltimore Colts (1) -18 New York Jets (2) 40 New York Jets 16-7 Underdog- Under
1967 II 01/14/68 Green Bay Packers (2) -13.5 Oakland Raiders (1) 43 Green Bay Packers 33-14 Favorite- Over
1966 I 01/15/67 Green Bay Packers (1) -14 Kansas City Chiefs (1) Green Bay Packers 35-10 Favorite

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