Key Injuries to Monitor
- Joe Harris (injury management) — OUT
- Tim Hardaway Jr. (foot) — Available
Los Angeles Clippers
- Paul George (illness) — Available
- Kawhi Leonard (injury management) — OUT
- Marcus Morris Sr. (personal reasons) — OUT
- John Konchar (shoulder) — Questionable
Second night of back-to-back
- Brooklyn Nets — Joe Harris is resting. Royce O’Neale could see an expanded role as a result.
- Miami Heat — No notable rest situations
Favorite Pick Against the Spread
Mavericks (-1.5) at Nets
I’m picking on the Nets once again here. This time, Brooklyn is on the second night of a back-to-back, coming off an extremely difficult matchup against Milwaukee. The Mavericks haven’t looked that sharp this season, but Luka Doncic and company have more than enough to beat a tired Nets squad.
Heading into their matchup with the Bucks on Wednesday night, Brooklyn ranked dead last in defensive rating. That passes the eye test, to say the least. I expect Dallas to bounce back from a disappointing loss against the depleted Pelicans in a big way.
Favorite Player Prop
Andrew Wiggins Over 25.5 Points, Rebounds & Assists
Typically with these player prop picks, I like to highlight stars. That’s not the case tonight, although it’s fair to say Wiggins has been a star within his role.
The veteran wing has cleared this total in all four of his games this season, seeing a usage rate of 21% or higher in three of those contests. Tonight, he’s facing off against the Heat, who are more name than game defensively so far. Miami actually ranks 29th in fantasy points allowed to small forwards, so Wiggins shouldn’t have a hard time staying hot.
Favorite Value Play
Heat PG Gabe Vincent ($4,000) at Warriors
This price is just too cheap for Vincent, plain and simple. The sharpshooter has scored 22-plus fantasy points in two of his last three games, establishing a significant role for himself with 22.5 minutes per contest.
Tonight, Vincent draws the Warriors, who have been abysmal defensively to start the season. Golden State ranks 22nd in fantasy points allowed to point guards, so Vincent should see plenty of opportunities to extend his hot streak.
Two more value options I like from this game are both of the Warriors’ bigs. James Wiseman ($4,300) and Kevon Looney ($4,200) have been relatively productive as of late.
Grizzlies PG Ja Morant ($10,200) at Kings
The choice was always going to be between Morant and Luka Doncic ($12,000) as the top stud on tonight’s slate. I opted for Morant, who is $1,800 cheaper but has still scored 60-plus fantasy points in two of his last three games.
Ja will likely have another big night against the Kings, who are subpar defensively. In reality, you probably need him or Luka in your lineups tonight.
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