DraftKings contributor Nick Friar and RotoWire’s Erik Halterman join The Sweat to give their favorite DraftKings value plays for Thursday’s MLB slate.
Watch the entire baseball segment below!
Gavin Sheets (at) $2,300 is far too cheap for him. Hasn’t had a particularly amazing second season; has fallen to basically a league-average bat — a 102 wRC+. But a league-average bat, I think, is more than $2,300, at least for me.
He has actually cut his strikeout rate this season to just under 20%, but that’s come with a drop in hard contact. If he can get that hard contact back from last season while keeping the reduced strikeouts, there’s maybe something more there heading into next year.
But, even this current version has got 10 hits in his last four starts and a 158 wRC+ across his last 21 games. So, he’s been hitting about as well as we’ve seen this season. And again, if he wasn’t, this kind of price against Jordan Lyles, who is a forgettable back-end starter — 4.61 ERA on the season, only thing he’s done well is avoid walks. And he hasn’t even done that to a particularly notable extent. I’ll take a league-average bat against that kind of guy for a near-minimum price any day.
I think if you’re trying to find a cheap stack, I think the White Sox’ outfield is the way to go tonight. But for a one-off guy, I’m actually going back to the Mets.
Mark Canha at $3.6K going up against Colorado. He’s been swinging it lately, man. A .303 ISO against right-handed pitching this month, 42.9% fly-ball rate, 39.3% hard-contact rate.
And we have already talked about (Ryan) Feltner quite a bit. He’s going to felt something, that’s for sure. Righties have a 33.3% line-drive rate against Feltner away from Coors this season, so he’s in for a rough one.
Erik’s Pick: Gavin Sheets ($2,300)
Nick’s Pick: Mark Canha ($3,600)
Put your knowledge to the test. Sign up for DraftKings and experience the game inside the game.
DraftKings promoters may sometimes play on personal accounts in the games that advice is offered on. Personal views on the games and strategies above do not necessarily reflect the view(s) of DraftKings and do not constitute a representation that any particular strategy will guarantee success. All customers should use their own skills and judgment in building lineups. DraftKings promoters may also deploy different players and strategies than what is recommended above. DraftKings promoters do not have access to any non-public information.
If you or someone you know has a gambling problem, crisis counseling and referral services can be accessed by calling 1-800-GAMBLER (1-800-426-2537) (IL/IN/MI/NJ/PA/WV/WY), 1-800-NEXT STEP (AZ), 1-800-522-4700 (CO/NH), 888-789-7777/visit ccpg.org/chat (CT), 1-800-BETS OFF (IA), 1-877-770-STOP (7867) (LA), 877-8-HOPENY/text HOPENY (467369) (NY), visit OPGR.org (OR), call/text TN REDLINE 1-800-889-9789 (TN), ConnexOntario 1-866-531-2600 (ONT), or 1-888-532-3500 (VA).
21+ (18+ NH/WY; 19+ ONT). Physically present in AZ/CO/CT/IL/IN/IA/LA/MI/NH/NJ/NY/ONT/OR/PA/TN/VA/WV/WY only. Eligibility restrictions apply. See draftkings.com/sportsbook for full terms and conditions. DraftKings operates pursuant to an Operating Agreement with iGaming Ontario. Please play responsibly.