On Friday night, Trevor Bauer will be making his regular season debut for the Los Angeles Dodgers when they play the Colorado Rockies. Bauer signed a three-year, $102 million deal this offseason with the Dodgers after winning the NL Cy Young award last season. With the Reds, Bauer posted a career-best 1.73 ERA in 11 starts.
With that being said, we’ll go over Bauer’s DFS value, his strikeout prop bet, and overall Cy Young odds. All odds are courtesy of DraftKings Sportsbook.
Trevor Bauer DFS price: $10,500
The reigning Cy Young award winner is the highest priced starting pitcher in MLB DFS on Friday night. Bauer is coming off of a solid Spring Training, where he posted a 4.08 ERA, 1.13 WHIP, and 21-5 strikeout to walk ratio. Surprisingly, Bauer’s 4.08 ERA is not too far off from his career ERA of 3.90.
That being said, what can we expect from Bauer against the Rox? It’s tough to say because this Rockies team jumped out on Clayton Kershaw, lighting him up 10 hits and five earned runs. Since its a light night on the pitching matchups, Bauer isn’t a bad pick since he has a career ERA against the Rox at 3.86, but 10.80 at Coors Field (one appearance).
But you could also opt for Blake Snell and Dallas Keuchel, who are priced at $9,700 and $8,700 respectively.
Trevor Bauer Strikeout O/U: 7.5 (-113)
As we get closer to first pitch at 8:40 p.m. ET, we might see some movement on Bauer’s strikeout prop, which is currently set at 7.5. Last season, the reigning Cy Young winner had 100 strikeouts in only 73 innings pitched. Bauer went over 7.5 strikeouts in seven out of 11 games started for the Reds.
On Opening Day, the Rockies only struck out four times, with Kershaw having the majority of the strikeouts (2). Since this prop is at even money (-113), you can’t go wrong with either choice. But Bauer will be looking to put on a show and establish that his Cy Young wasn’t a fluke. Take over 7.5 strikeouts against an average at-best Rockies’ batting order.
Trevor Bauer NL Cy Young Odds: +700
The last time there was a repeat Cy Young award winner in the National League was New York Mets ace Jacob deGrom, who won the award in 2018 and 2019. In 2018, deGrom had a record of 10-9, but still produced a 1.70 ERA and 269 strikeouts in 217 innings pitched. Then he followed it up with a 11-8 record, 2.43 ERA, and 255 strikeouts in 204 innings pitched.
Therefore, if Bauer wants to be the next pitcher to win the Cy Young for the second-straight season, he’ll need to have an ERA between 2.00-2.99 or an insane amount of K’s. It also doesn’t help his case that he’s apart of rotation, which features Kershaw, Dustin May, and Walker Buehler.
Right now, deGrom has the best odds +425, with Bauer second, Max Scherzer in third (+950), and Buehler in fourth place (+1000).
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