Washington Wizards PG Russell Westbrook will rest on the second night of a back-to-back on Sunday vs. the Orlando Magic. Westbrook has gotten off to a pretty good start in his tenure with the Wizards, posting consecutive triple-doubles to start the season. Unfortunately, that hasn’t resulted in any wins so far. The Wizards will try to get in the win column on Sunday without the All-Star guard.
Update: Raul Neto ($3,100) is going to start in place of Westbrook. This makes Neto a pretty decent value option given he’s almost min-priced. I still think Smith should see most of the run at PG and in crunch time. Neto could end up being bad chalk. Again, cheap salary means we don’t need much more than 10-15 FPTS from him. Don’t expect a ton of leverage, however.
So with Westbrook sidelined, the Wizards will look a bit like they did last season (though they’re also missing Rui Hachimura). Bradley Beal ($8,900) becomes one of the better tournament plays on the main slate with Westbrook out. Even with Russ in town, that hasn’t impacted Beal’s usage and production so far. He’s posted over 30 points in back-to-back games and scored 39 on Saturday vs. the Magic. Beal is also pretty viable in cash games.
As for value plays, we don’t know who will start in Westbrook’s place, but it could be Ish Smith ($5,700). He’d also be a good all-around play, more so a cash play given what the ownership could be. Ish has played at least 22 minutes in both games this season and posted a usage rate around 18 percent in those contests. That number should rise and it should be easier for Smith to reach value.
The Wizards are +2 on the spread at home against the Magic. Washington lost by 10 points and Westbrook played, so there’s definitely a good reason to look at Orlando at -2. Home/Road adjustments haven’t really been made on the lines.