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Two key QB starts, Two QB sits to consider for Week 14

Can Kyler Murray rebound from a poor outing against the Rams? Will Drew Brees be able to overcome a stout 49ers secondary?

NFL: Los Angeles Rams at Arizona Cardinals Matt Kartozian-USA TODAY Sports

Well, if you’re reading this, I guess congratulations are in order. Welcome to the beginning of the Fantasy Football playoffs! As I’m sure you’re aware, with situations like this, it’s always best to start things off on the right foot. In this particular case, that means getting a solid start from the man atop your roster: The quarterback. Allow me to dive into some matchups to exploit and some to avoid this coming weekend.

Quarterback Starts

Kyler Murray, Arizona Cardinals

While the Steelers are by no means an alluring opponent for a QB to draw on a given week, Murray’s proven to been somewhat matchup proof in recent starts. Even if we’re including a less than stellar performance against the Rams in Week 13, no NFC quarterback has managed to score more fantasy points per drop back since the beginning of Week 9 (0.59). That’s a span where Murray and Arizona have squared off with San Francisco twice - the defense allowing the fewest yards per pass attempt in 2019 (4.6). At the helm of the league’s fasted-paced offense and with the ability to scramble, I’m willing to give Murray the benefit of the doubt.

Josh Allen, Buffalo Bills

In a similar vein to Murray, Allen’s simply been too consistent this season to have a negative matchup scare you away. Going back to the start of Week 7, Allen has racked up the fourth-most fantasy points of any QB (177.4) with only the likes of Lamar Jackson, Dak Prescott and Deshaun Watson besting the former first-round pick. On top of that, at 0.64 fantasy points per drop back, Allen’s been the third-most efficient signal-caller within that same span. It doesn’t hurt matters that Allen’s accounted for multiple touchdowns in nine-straight starts, either.

Quarterback Sits

Drew Brees, New Orleans Saints

Only two quarterbacks this season have scored 20-plus fantasy points in a start against the 49ers: Kyler Murray (twice) and Lamar Jackson. All three times, scrambling was a crucial element to hitting value, as Murray ran for 101 yards and a touchdown across his two matchups and Jackson managed the exact same last Sunday. Well, considering Brees hasn’t rushed for 30 yards in an entire season since 2014, I don’t think his archetype quite fits the criteria of what we’re looking for. Passing just hasn’t been a viable strategy versus San Francisco. Its secondary has surrendered an eye-popping 3.4 yards per pass attempt over the last three weeks and, for the season, its allowed an NFC-low 12 touchdowns through the air.

Jacoby Brissett, Indianapolis Colts

If there’s one piece of advice I’d make sure to follow in the playoffs, its to not get too cute. Sure, streaming quarterbacks against the porous Buccaneers’ pass defense has been a very viable strategy in Fantasy Football all year long; but Tampa Bay’s actually faired slightly better in recent games, conceding a respectable 5.3 yards per opponent pass attempt since Week 11. More importantly, I just can’t advise using Brissett without T.Y. Hilton active. The wideout is still not practicing and he has no timetable for return. Bad news for Brissett, who’s averaged a paltry 13.3 fantasy points his last two starts with Hilton sidelined.