Last week we saw our first snow game, as the Chiefs and Broncos played in the frigid confines of Mile High. But for the most part, we haven’t had poor weather impact game play much, but that looks like it will change this week. The Great Lakes and surrounding areas are going to be a mess, as blustery wind will settle in to push kicks and passes off their intended trajectory.
We’ll go through the games that look to have the worst wind, cold and possible precipitation and also give you the games where we shouldn’t need to worry about weather, i.e., the games you can choose from in DFS without getting an ulcer. Helpful weather resources include National Weather Service and Dark Sky, among others.
Check back before kickoff for updates on these weather situations.
Bad weather games
Point total change: The total started at 55.5 and has been lowered to 47.5 based on the weather.
Saturday evening update: This appears to be the worst of the trouble games this week, as the forecast has gotten slightly worse, with sustained winds upticked slightly to 25-30 mph and gusts close to 50 mph. You aren’t throwing the ball on target in that.
This matchup has a chance of rain with 25 mph sustained winds and gusts up to 40 mph. The temperature should be in the high 40s to low 50s, but the wind chill will likely be much cooler. Derek Carr has been throwing deep much more this season, but that might be off the table if this forecast proves accurate.
Point total change: The total started at 55.5 and has been lowered to 48 based on the weather.
Saturday evening update: Much depends on the timing of the front coming through, but early in the game there is going to be 25 mph sustained winds and gusts up to 40 mph. Some relief could come mid-game, but it’s not something to count on for the passing game.
No chances of rain or snow in Green Bay, but the temperature will be in the mid 30s with 25 mph sustained winds and gusts up to 40 mph. Of course, that wind will push the “feels like” temperature into the 20s at least. Aaron Rodgers can fling it, but if this wind prediction holds, he will have trouble throwing deep.
Point total change: The total started at 44.5 and has been lowered to 41.5 based on the weather.
Saturday evening update: Winds should die down a bit with this game being later, but it will start out with sustained wind 25 to 30 mph, with gusts as high as 45 mph. Winds will lessen to 15 to 20 mph with gusts up to 30 mph, but it won’t be pleasant for the passing or kicking game either way.
Much like their neighbors up north in Wisconsin, Chicago won’t have precipitation, but winds are going to be strong, especially along the lake where the Bears play. Again, 25 mph sustained winds and gusts up to 40 mph while the temperature should be in the high 30s with colder wind chills. Drew Brees’ arm is already falling into disrepair, so again, expect plenty of check downs from the old man.
Point total change: The total started at 45 and has been lowered to 40.5 based on the weather.
Saturday evening update: Not much change from the earlier forecast
Unlike the other games, we’ve got a little more variety in Orchard Park, as rain is more likely to go along with the wind. Thankfully, the wind isn’t supposed to be as bad as the previous games on this list, but still not great at 20 mph sustained and the temperatures in the 40s. If everything hits at game time, it could be ugly.
Point total change: The total started at 55 and has been lowered to 50 based on the weather.
Saturday evening update: Wind looks like it could be slightly higher than before with winds at 15-20 mph sustained with gusts around 35. Would have to say this bodes better for the team with Derrick Henry than the team with Joe Mixon out this week.
This game is right on the edge, as it should be sunny and in the low 50s, but with sustained winds around 15 mph and gusts into the mid 20s. If the forecast stays like this into Sunday morning, I wouldn’t be overly concerned, but we’ll see.
Point total change: The total started at 49 and has been lowered to 44 based on the weather.
Sunday morning update: Things are looking a little better this morning for this matchup, as the rain looks like it will clear before game-time and the wind will stay relatively subdued, epscially compared to the other matchups.
Saturday evening update: I moved this game into the bad weather category, as it looks like it will rain and the wind will increase as the game goes on. Winds should start out around 15 mph with gusts in the 20s, but will increase as we get into evening. The rain will lighten while the wind will move toward 20 mph sustained, with gusts into the low 30s.
A slight chance of showers. Mostly sunny, with a high near 60 in Baltimore. Wind around 10 mph. No worries.
Better weather games
It will be sunny, with a high around 50 degrees in Kansas City. Wind could be around 10-15 mph. Maybe we see those wind projections move up, but for now I’m not worried about this one.
Chance of showers in Miami, as usual. Mostly sunny, with a high near 84. Wind around 15 mph with gusts into the 20s. The wind is a little much, but in Miami the rain can come and go and bring with it gusts, but it should be relentless. Unless these numbers rise, I’m not worried.
The forecast is sunny, with a high near 57 and variable winds in Denver. About as perfect as you can get.
Sunny, with a high near 56 and light winds in Seattle. Play ball!
A chance of showers Philadelphia. Partly cloudy, with temperatures in the 40s. Wind around 10-15 mph. Not sun bathing weather, but decent football conditions.
Partly cloudy, with wind around 10 mph in the Meadowlands. Temperatures will dip into the high 30s.
Home sweet dome
Two dome teams leaving an open dome in Indianapolis. That dome is lonely and needs one of these crazy wind games to move there.