The forecast has gotten much worse as the week has gone on and now we have four games where wind will likely impact passing and kicking.
We’ll go through the games that look to have the worst wind, cold and possible precipitation and also give you the games where we shouldn’t need to worry about weather, i.e., the games you can choose from in DFS without getting an ulcer. Helpful weather resources include National Weather Service and Dark Sky, among others.
Check back before kickoff for updates on these weather situations.
Point total movement for worst weather games:
Jaguars at Packers, 53 to 47
Texans at Browns, 54 to 45.5
Bengals at Steelers 47.5 to 44.5
Bad weather games
Sunday update: It looks like the worst of it will hold off until the second half, but that half could be ugly.
Friday update: What a difference a day makes. The forecast now calls for heavy downpours and wind gust around game-time. The question is all about timing for this one at the moment. And to answer that, we’ll probably need to wait until Sunday morning to get the best projections.
The northeast will also have mild temperatures, as Foxborough will be in the high 40s for this Sunday night affair. Wind will be around 10 mph with a 30-40 percent chance of rain.
Friday update: Rain should move out for game-time, but winds will be 23-31 mph sustained, with gusts as high as 55 mph! That’s around what they had two weeks ago and it shut down the passing game for the Raiders and Browns.
Thursday update: The forecast has gotten worse, as the wind projections have pushed up to 25 mph sustained winds with gusts up to 40 mph.
There aren’t any truly bad weather games at this point in the forecast, but Cleveland looks like the worst of the bunch. Sustained winds around 15-20 mph along with a 40 percent chance of rain make this game on the edge of troubling. Thankfully the temperatures will be moderate, with mid to high 50s. Projections of peak wind gusts will come in soon and if the sustained winds and gusts rise at all, we could be in for another tough day for passing in Cleveland.
Friday update: Green Bay’s wind gusts aren’t as wild as Cleveland’s, but 23-28 mph sustained winds with 45 mph gusts aren’t fun. Aaron Rodgers played well in a windy game two weeks ago, but it’s still not optimal.
Thursday update: This game has also had the wind speeds bumped up to 20-25 sustained, but the gusts aren’t looking quite as blustery as they were in Cleveland.
This game could be much worse, as the temperature will be in the 40s instead of below freezing and there’s only a 10-20 percent chance of rain. But, the wind could be, uh, windy, with 15-20 mph sustained winds. Much like Cleveland, we’ll need to keep a close eye on these wind projections moving forward.
Friday update: This is another game we’ve had to move up into the “bad” weather list, as the wind predictions have gotten extreme. The rain looks like it will taper off before game-time, but the wind will pick up, with sustained wind at 21-26 mph and gusts up to 50 mph.
There’s a 40 percent chance of rain with temperatures in the mid-50s. Wind will be around 10 mph. Can’t ask for much better for November in Pittsburgh.
Better weather games
Friday update: Not much change, but winds could be a in the 10-15 mph range. Still nothing to worry about.
Small chance of rain, but mostly sunny with the temperature in the mid-60s and variable winds not topping 10 mph.
Friday update: Rain chances have increased, especially for the second half of the game, with winds also increasing depending on when that rain moves in, but at its worst, I’d say 15 mph wind and rain will be about it. Shouldn’t be too impactful.
20-30 percent chance of rain, temperature in the mid to high 50s and 10 mph wind. Nothing to worry about here unless the forecast drastically changes.
Mid to high 70s with no wind and sun are what you should expect in Phoenix in November and that’s what we’ll get. Let the stats compile!
It’s Las Vegas in November, there won’t be rain and the temps will be a perfect 70 degrees. Winds should be calm and their new stadium is built to cut down on wind as it is.
We’ve got a good chunk of warm or domed landscapes hosting games this weekend and Los Angeles is another one. Temperatures in the low 80s and wind around 5 mph will make this game free of any weather trouble.
The Monday night game is probably the worst of the good weather games, as the temps will be in the high 30s around kickoff and wind will be 10-15 mph. That’s nothing to worry about at this point, but we’re still a ways from Monday, so the forecast could change.
Home sweet dome
Washington Football Team at Detroit Lions
San Francisco 49ers @ New Orleans Saints
Buffalo Bills @ Arizona Cardinals
Three games in either a dome or a stadium with a retractable roof.