The Indianapolis Colts have taken control of the AFC South and will look to stay atop the division by holding off the Green Bay Packers in Week 11. Indianapolis has one of the best defenses in the NFL this season, but Green Bay could get a big boost on offense from the return of Allen Lazard.
The Colts have been solid on defense all season and have finally started to click on offense. They’ve scored at least 31 points in three of their last four games and have gotten a ton of production from their running backs in recent weeks. Philip Rivers has no clear WR1 but has been able to find success through the air amid T.Y. Hilton’s slump.
Aaron Rodgers and Davante Adams have been on a tear over the past four weeks and have connected on 38 passes for 488 yards and seven scores. Marquez Valdes-Scantling has thrived in a supporting role over the last two weeks but Lazard is set to return from the IR and is on track to play for the first time since Week 3. The Packers haven’t lost a game with all their top wideouts healthy and could continue strengthen their hold on the NFC North with a win.
Date: Sunday, Nov. 22
Time: 4:25 p.m. ET
Notable Statistical rankings (Football Outsiders)
Packers: #7 Overall — #2 offense, #16 defense, #24 special teams
Colts: #5 Overall — #18 offense, #4 defense, #6 special teams
DraftKings Sportsbook odds
Packers: +1.5, +106
Colts: -1.5, -120
Fantasy football start/sit advice
Aaron Rodgers, QB, $7,000
This isn’t an ideal matchup for Rodgers but Indianapolis has better against wide receivers, running backs, and tight ends than quarterbacks. If the Packers boom on offense it will likely be because of Rodgers. He’s second in passing touchdowns (26) despite not having his WR2 for more than half the season and has the potential for a ceiling game with Lazard back in the fold.
Davante Adams, WR, $8,600
Adams is pricy but it’s hard to pass on him given how productive he’s been as of late. He’s scored at least one touchdown in four straight games and is always a lock for double-digit targets. The Colts will have a hard time loading up on him with a physical receiver like Lazard to worry about.
Nyheim Hines, RB, $5,200
Green Bay’s defense has been terrible against running backs and Hines has two multi-touchdown games in his last three outings. You often have to play the guessing game when it comes to Colts running backs but Hines has a solid floor because of his PPR potential.
Michael Pittman, WR, $4,500
All the Colts’ receivers are fairly cheap but Pittman had a breakout game in Week 10 and could prove to better a better WR1 option than T.Y. Hilton ($4,200) moving forward. The Packers have been good against quarterbacks, wide receivers, and tight ends on defense, so most Colts players will be risky DFS options.