The 10-3 Buffalo Bills are red-hot fresh off of handing the Pittsburgh Steelers their second loss in a row on Sunday night. They’ll be headed to the Mile High City this weekend to take on Drew Lock and the 5-8 Denver Broncos.
Bills QB Josh Allen has turned into a new player in his third season, helping turn the Buffalo offense into one of the best in the NFL. The addition of Stefon Diggs has helped a lot too. They get most of their production through the air, which could be bad for Denver, who gives up a ton of yards that way. However, the Broncos D has only allowed 14 passing touchdowns all season, which is the second least in the NFL.
Drew Lock has been the driving force behind the Denver offense when he’s healthy. It’s not that he’s been playing very well, it’s just that nobody on the team is playing that great. He’s had turnover issues, throwing 13 picks in just 10 games. Buffalo’s defense has been getting a ton of turnovers, including two picks on Ben Rothlisberger last week, so that doesn’t bode well for Lock. Their run game is decent thanks to Melvin Gordon, who has close to 800 yards and six touchdowns on the season, and the Buffalo run d has been known to struggle this season.
Date: Saturday, Dec. 19
Time: 4:30 p.m. ET
Channel: NFL Network
Notable Statistical rankings (Football Outsiders)
Bills: #7 Overall — #7 offense, #16 defense, #5 special teams
Broncos: #28 Overall — #31 offense, #13 defense, #18 special teams
Fantasy football start/sit advice
Gabriel Davis, WR, $4,000
The rookie has caught a touchdown in each of his last three games and is also catching 75% of his targets over that span. Diggs and Cole Beasley take a lot of attention from opposing DB’s, allowing Davis to thrive recently.
Dawson Knox, TE $2,800
Knox has become one of Allen’s favorite targets not named Diggs or Beasley. He seems to make one inexplicably dumb play each week, but that doesn’t stop Allen from feeding him. He also has two TDs in the last three weeks.
Melvin Gordon, RB, $5,200
Gordon has been a threat on the ground and through the air at times this season. He hasn’t had a lot of success in recent weeks, but attacking the Bills on the ground is the best way to have success.
Tim Patrick, WR, $4,300
Patrick is Lock’s go-to guy this season. He has three touchdowns in the last two weeks, which is half his total for the year. He’s getting hot and now is the right time for fantasy managers to pick him up if they haven’t already.