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Week 13 provides us with a Monday doubleheader, and the regularly scheduled nightcap will pit the Buffalo Bills against the San Francisco 49ers.
The Bills (8-3) got past the Chargers last week, 27-17, as they continue their push toward an AFC East crown. Josh Allen completed 18 of 24 passes for 157 passing yards, 32 rushing yards and two total touchdowns. But he also committed two second-half turnovers. Buffalo handed the ball off more often than in the past couple of weeks, and Devin Singletary benefited by taking his 11 carries for 82 yards, his second-best tally of the year. Stefon Diggs gained just 39 yards on his seven receptions. Buffalo’s top receiver was actually rookie Gabriel Davis, who hauled in three of four targets for 79 yards and a touchdown that was thrown by WR Cole Beasley.
The 49ers (5-6) upset the Rams in L.A. by a score of 23-20. They have their defense to thank most as San Fran held the Rams to fewer than 200 total yards less than a week after they gained more than 400 at Tampa Bay. That defense also forced three turnovers, including a pick-six TD. But offensively, the Niners got huge contributions from a couple of players fresh back from injury. Deebo Samuel caught 11 passes for 133 yards in his first game in five weeks. Running back Raheem Mostert, out since suffering a Week 6 knee injury, carried the ball 16 times, picking up 43 yards and a score. He also lost a fumble and ceded 12 carries to Jeff Wilson Jr. Quarterback Nick Mullens was not great by any means — 252 yards, no touchdowns, one interception — but he wasn’t as mistake-prone as Jared Goff, and that was good enough for the 49ers.
TV Info
Date: Monday, Dec. 7
Time: 8:15 p.m. ET
Channel: ESPN
Broadcast map
Notable Statistical rankings (Football Outsiders)
Bills: #11 Overall — #8 offense, #16 defense, #8 special teams
49ers: #14 Overall — #19 offense, #9 defense, #16 special teams
DraftKings Sportsbook odds
Bills: -1, -124
49ers: +1, +110
Total: 48
Fantasy football start/sit advice
Bills
Josh Allen, QB, $7,100
Allen struggled yet again without WR John Brown. In three games sans Brown, Allen has a 3:3 touchdown-to-interception ratio. Now going up against this 49ers defense that is getting healthier, just completely flustered Goff, and is the second-best against QBs according to DraftKings’ opponent rank, Allen is a fade candidate.
Gabriel Davis, WR, $4,300
Although Allen might be scary to use at his price this week, Davis offers a lot of reward at a relatively low number. He’s an every-down player with Brown on IR and has shown that he can win contested, 50-50 balls with his size and leaping ability. While Diggs draws so much deserved attention, Davis is a sneaky-good long shot play with high upside.
49ers
Raheem Mostert, RB, $6,200
Mostert played just 29 of 72 offensive snaps in his first game back from that knee ailment, but that was more field time than Wilson (25 snaps) and Jerick McKinnon (18 snaps). His fumble was pretty soft, but Mostert should still be at the head of this committee against a Bills defense that has permitted the eighth-most rushing yards and the sixth-most rushing touchdowns to RBs this year.
Deebo Samuel, WR, $6,300
Mullens sure was happy to see Samuel back. The rookie saw a 37 percent target share against the Rams and made the most of it. He should continue to be a target hog this week. Any snaps spent lining up opposite of Tre’Davious White will be tough, but the Niners move Samuel around the formation and scheme him open. Take note that the past three No. 1 wideouts to face Buffalo — DK Metcalf, DeAndre Hopkins and Keenan Allen — all scored.