The NFL’s 2020 free agency period is around the corner, and a ton of big-time players will be hitting the market. Tom Brady is debating leaving New England Patriots, Philip Rivers has split with the Los Angles Chargers, Derrick Henry is chasing a major deal after leading the league in rushing last season. But not everyone team will be affected significantly by player movement. We identified five teams that aren’t likely to see much movement with projected win totals on DraftKings Sportsbook, regardless of what they do.
New Orleans Saints (Projected win total: 11)
The Saints will likely lose Teddy Bridgewater in free agency, but Drew Brees will still be under center once he signs a new contract. Michael Thomas, Jared Cook, Alvin Kamara will also still be in the fold, so the offense should be sturdy again. New Orleans is looking strong on the defensive side as well. Its main concern should be whether Taysom Hill is an adequate backup quarterback for Brees. The Swiss army knife has limited experience throwing the football in games, which is kind of a big deal in such a pass-oriented offense. The rest of the NFC South is looking shaky, but the Saints have a formula for success that’s worked fine in recent years.
Washington (Projected win total: 5.5)
Washington is all over the place. It couldn’t get its quarterback situation together last season, and it’s still unclear if Dwayne Haskins is who they want under center for the long run. Adrian Peterson is coming back for another season, and the injury-riddled Derrius Guice will join him in the backfield in hopes of playing in his sixth regular season game since 2018. Terry McLaurin was a pleasant surprise for the receiving corps, but it seems unlikely that more talent will want to be in Washington after it upset Trent Williams last season. There isn’t much to draw in premier free agents.
Kansas City Chiefs (Projected win total: 11.5)
The Chiefs want to retain stud defensive lineman Chris Jones, but he shouldn’t stop their dynamic offense from dominating. The defending champions have Patrick Mahomes, Tyreek Hill, Travis Kelce, and Sammy Watkins returning. Kansas City will also likely retain Damien Williams. The Chiefs went 12-4 with a terrible defense in 2018, and the AFC West is looking weaker.
Jacksonville Jaguars (Projected win total: 5.5)
Jacksonville has virtually no cap space and its main concern is Yannick Ngakoue, who has become one of the best defensive linemen in the league and is in for a major payday. Star cornerback Jalen Ramsey is gone, but Nick Foles could get another shot at quarterbacking the team after his 2019 was derailed by a broken clavicle. Having Leonard Fournette in the backfield is a plus, but the Jaguars don’t seem to have the means to make significant upgrades anywhere.
Atlanta Falcons (Projected win total: 8)
The Falcons rebounded from a slow start to finish the year at 7-9 in 2019. Austin Hooper is probably headed out the door, but Matt Ryan and Julio Jones are still a force to be reckoned with. Atlanta left a lot to be desired on the defensive end last season, but figured things toward the end of the year and put together a nice defensive stretch as the regular season came to a close. If the Falcons managed to finished just under .500 in one of the most disappointing seasons they’ve had in a while, they should be able to stay in the same ballpark in 2020 while the Tampa Bay Buccaneers and Carolina Panthers deal with quarterback problems. Atlanta has basically the same group on offense and has plenty of quality starters.
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