The Patriots have a new look with Cam Newton at the helm while Tom Brady moved on to Tampa Bay at the tender age of 43. Newton has dealt with injuries over the last few years, so the shine has dulled since his MVP season, but he’s healthy and ready to go as a Patriot.
In Miami, the rebuild is in affect with former Patriot Brian Flores in his second year of coaching. The future at quarterback in Miami is Tua Tagovailoa, but we’ll likely get veteran Ryan Fitzpatrick along with his beard for now. The Dolphins look like they are content to go with Fitzpatrick to start the year and give Tagovailoa and their young offensive line some time to adjust.
Date: Septemner 13
Time: 1 p.m. ET
Notable Statistical rankings (Football Outsiders)
Dolphins (2019): 32nd vs. Pass, 27th vs. Rush
Patriots (2019): 1st vs. Pass, 6th vs. Rush
Dolphins: +6.5, +230
Patriots: -6.5, -295
The Dolphins beat the Patriots last year as 17-point underdogs and went 9-3 ATS in their final 12 games. The new-look Patriots are a huge question mark after losing multiple defenders and personnel this off-season. They probably shouldn’t be nearly touchdown favorites, even against the Dolphins.
Limited: TE Mike Gesicki (glute), CB Xavien Howard (knee), CB Byron Jones (achilles), WR DeVante Parker (hamstring), LB Kyle Van Noy (hand), WR Preston Williams (knee)
Full: QB Tua Tagovailoa (hip)
Limited: S Clayton Fejedelem (pectoral), TE Mike Gesicki (glute), CB Xavien Howard (knee), CB Byron Jones (achilles), WR DeVante Parker (hamstring), LB Kyle Van Noy (hand), WR Preston Williams (knee)
Full: QB Tua Tagovailoa (hip)
DNP: T Yodny Cajuste (knee), LB Cassh Maluia (knee)
Limited: WR Julian Edelman (knee), WR Gunner Olszewski (foot), DE Chase Winovich (shoulder)
DNP: T Yodny Cajuste (knee)
Limited: WR Julian Edelman (knee), WR Gunner Olszewski (foot)
Full: DE Chase Winovich (shoulder)
Fantasy football start/sit advice
Preston Williams, Wide receiver, $4,500
The Dolphins will have a tough time with the Patriots defense, but Williams could be in store for a lot of targets if Davante Parker isn’t 100 percent to start the season. And even if Parker is good to go, Williams is right up there with parker in the pecking order and should be a useful play at his price at DraftKings.
Mike Gesicki, Tight end, $4,500
I’m not ready to choose between Jordan Howard and Matt Breida until I see how they are used, but I do think we can count on Gesicki being a staple of the offense and in the Top 3 targets for the team each week.
Cam Newton, Quarterback, $6,100
This matchup is too good to wait to see how Newton looks with his new team. The Dolphins were a bad defense last season and they will likely be a bad defense this season too. Newton isn’t likely to stop running, especially with the Patriots weak at receiver. Also, Damien Harris hurt his finger and Sony Michel just returned to the team after a long post-surgery rehab. I expect a rushing touchdown from Newton and that base would quickly push him into startable territory.
James White, Running back, $6,000
This pick will be based on the injury reports leading up to the game. If both Michel and Harris are ready to go, I might not go all in on White, but I still like him as what could amount to the No. 2 target on the team. And we know that Newton is used to throwing to his backs, as he made a living out of it with Christian McCaffrey in Carolina.