Week 3 of the NFL season is in the books, and it looks like Carolina Panthers running back Mike Davis ($5,700) is filling in for Christian McCaffrey a lot better than expected, recording 17 targets in two weeks while playing on 76 percent of offensive snaps last week. Jaguars RB James Robinson’s price has increased by $1,100 this week, coming off a near 31 DKFP game, making him more expensive than Clyde Edwards-Helaire ($6,400), Kenyan Drake ($6,000) and Joe Mixon ($5,800).
Here are the running backs we should be targeting on DraftKings in Week 4 along with their opportunity projections this week.
EDITOR’S NOTE: Sunday’s Patriots-Chiefs game has been postponed, with the game scheduled to be played Monday night at 7:05 p.m. ET.
Ezekiel Elliott, Dallas Cowboys vs. Cleveland Browns, $7,800
Last week’s box score may seem like a letdown for Elliott with only 60 total yards in a game that finished with 69 total points. The 20 touches are his lowest this season, but 11 targets?! He’s hit double-digits only twice before, and this defense, even with the Aldon Smith resurgence, looks like they’ll be giving up more game scripts similar to last week. We shouldn’t expect the same amount of looks in the passing game as he got in Week 3. Still, with a talented defense like Cleveland, especially at the cornerback and edge rush position, we shouldn’t be surprised if Zeke gets targeted often. Elliott also has the second-most rushing attempts within the 20-yard line, behind only Derrick Henry. There’s a ton of industry sentiment in the $5,000 range, and Elliott should provide some leverage in tournaments if everyone’s going to pay down this week.
Rushing: 21 attempts
Receiving: 8 Targets; 7 Receptions
Total: 28 Touches
Kansas City Chiefs vs. New England Patriots, $6,400
Editor’s Note: Sunday’s game between the Chiefs and Patriots has been postponed and has been taken off Sunday’s main NFL slate.
We should always tie ourselves to great offenses. It seems obvious, but we are all victims of trying to outsmart the competition, and end up outsmarting ourselves. The Kansas City Chiefs are playing tremendous football, and we’ve seen multiple fantasy options like Sammy Watkins ($4,400) and Mecole Hardman ($4,300) already come through for our lineups. Both wideouts struggle with consistency, but CEH and Andy Reid running backs don’t. The rookie running back is averaging 18 attempts out of the backfield, and since Week 2, he has been targeted 14 times. Through the first three weeks, CEH is fourth in pass routes run among all running backs; this should keep going when the Chiefs face a Patriots defense that has already given up the 10th most receptions to opposing backfields this season (18) and has not fared well against Kansas City running backs in the past.
Rushing: 21 Attempts
Receiving: 5 Targets; 4 Receptions
Total: 25 Touches
David Montgomery, Chicago Bears vs. Indianapolis Colts, $5,500
The Colts have quickly become a top defense in the first three weeks, ranking first in yards per play given up to their opponents. They’ve also only allowed a total of 396 passing yards. Nick Foles ($5,700) taking over at QB and Tarik Cohen suffering a season-ending knee injury are, sadly, what Montgomery needed to become a weekly consideration in this offense with the potential for a true three-down role. Montgomery’s upside should come from his use in the passing game, which may be needed against this formidable front-four. Montgomery will be playing without Cohen for the first time in his career - we may need to temper our expectations and see his role in the passing game first (Cordarrelle Patterson, anyone?).
Rushing: 18 Attempts
Receiving: 3 Targets; 2 Receptions
Total: 20 Touches
Myles Gaskin, Miami Dolphins vs. Seattle Seahawks, $5,000
The Dolphins’ running back recorded 79 percent of the snaps last week with 22 carries and five targets. Jordan Howard ($4,100) was on the field for just seven percent of the snaps and Matt Breida ($4,000) for 14 — this is Gaskin’s backfield. His target share and usage in the passing game keep him viable in games where they’ll be trailing, which should happen this week against the Seahawks. Seattle’s offense is scoring on 45 percent of their offensive series and ranks first in TD pass percentage (13.6), almost five points higher than the Buffalo Bills (8.8).
Rushing: 13 Attempts
Receiving: 6 Targets; 4 Receptions
Total: 17 Touches
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