Obviously, the NFL is getting a little choppy with how many games are getting moved around, but even before that, Week 5’s board wasn’t setting up as the strongest one. It should be a light week for me, but there are some spots that stand out. Here are some bets that jump out in Week 5 on DraftKings Sportsbook.
Let’s start with the most square spot on the board. Betting the Cardinals will probably be the most public play in Week 5, but you can’t talk me out of fading the Jets. Sam Darnold, Joe Flacco, whatever. As long as Adam Gase is the head coach, I’ll continue fading. The Jets are 0-4 ATS, failing to cover by more than 10 points per game. Maybe the Cardinals aren’t the breakout team we thought they’d be after the 2-0 start, but they’re in a spectacular position to bounce back from consecutive losses, both as slight favorites.
The Panthers are a pretty sharp play this week, already getting bet past the key number of +3. If that becomes available, that’s the play I’d target, but the moneyline is still worth a sprinkle here. The Falcons are an 0-4 dumpster fire and have absolutely no secondary. Now the wide receivers are getting banged up as well and we saw the struggles on Monday night in Green Bay.
I mentioned Atlanta’s secondary being in shambles, which gives us a pretty great spot for Anderson. He should be able to run free downfield and Teddy Bridgewater has been looking for and finding him. Anderson is averaging 94.3 yards per game and has gone for 99 or more yards in three of four games. Coming off a season-high 11 targets against Arizona, I expect plenty of big-play opportunities for Anderson in this game.
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Say what you want about Daniel Jones and this Giants offense, but this is a completely different spot than they’ve been in all season. The G-Men have faced the Steelers, Bears, 49ers and Rams so far, all loaded with talent on defense. Meanwhile, the Cowboys have surrendered 42 points per game over the past three weeks, giving Danny Dimes his first positive matchup of the season. Jones has put up some massive games in the past, and this feels like a spot he can get the offense going for 23-plus. I wouldn’t be surprised if the Giants score 35 in this game.
Slayton is generally the target that does the most damage deep down the field, and the Dallas defense is capable of giving up enormous plays. We saw him haul in six passes for 102 yards against the Steelers back in Week 1, and while he hasn’t topped 57.5 yards since, 53 yards and 48 yards against the Niners and Rams are encouraging that he can make just one more play against the Cowboys to get there. Slayton has brought in just 3-of-7 targets in both of those games and should see less resistance on his receptions in this game. The good news is that Jones is looking his way more than seven times per game.
Hunt will be a popular DFS play this week with Nick Chubb sidelined and could be where some eyes go for player props. While Hunt can make plays as a pass-catcher and have a big game, I just want to key in on an inflated rushing prop against a top of the line Indy run defense. The Colts are allowing just 77 rushing yards per game, which ranks fourth in the NFL, and are coming off a Week 4 showing in which they gave up 28 rushing yards to the Bears. Hunt is averaging 68.8 rushing yards per game this season, so I understand why it may feel uncomfortable betting an under here with Chubb out of the RB rotation, but I don’t think the Browns will lean on Hunt all that much more. He’s already been extremely involved and the rest of Cleveland’s backfield combined for 18 carries after Chubb left last Sunday’s game. That could mean Hunt sees his usual 12 to 15 carries, making this number a tough one to hit against an elite run defense.
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