The Los Angeles Lakers and Miami Heat are facing off in Game 6 of the NBA Finals on Sunday and we are focusing on the DraftKings Showdown contest, which locks at 7:30 p.m. ET.

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Showdown Strategy

Miami Heat

Yet again, Goran Dragic is doubtful to play. He’s warmed up and tried to play in the Finals, but overcoming a bad foot injury has been too much. Miami will have to continue to start Tyler Herro ($9,000) in his place. Against the Lakers, the rookie has struggled. Herro is coming off of a game with 17.75 DKFP and he’s only topped 30 DKFP once. The playing time is there, but Herro is a low priority play when considering his price and the other options at the high end.

Instead of Herro, I think the point guard play to roster from Miami is Kendrick Nunn ($5,400). There aren’t many good value plays to choose from tonight and Nunn is one of the only sources of salary savings that is likely to play over 20 minutes. Foul trouble has occasionally been an issue for Nunn, although he’s still averaging 19 DKFP for the series and provides the Heat with a scoring punch of the bench.

After playing 47 minutes and scoring 82 DKFP in Game 6, it’s hard to get away from Jimmy Butler ($11,400). He’s having one of the best performances in the Finals we have ever seen, and even in a loss, Butler could garner some MVP votes. He’s nearly averaging a triple-double for the series and has at least 56 DKFP in four consecutive games.

Coming back from a neck injury, Bam Adebayo ($9,600) is not playing to the best of his abilities. It stands to reason that he is not at full health because he’s averaging 25.13 DKFP in the last two games. Even so, I am willing to put Adebayo into lineups. He was arguably the Heat’s best player in the regular season and the team is going to need him to step up to pull off a comeback in this series. Miami can’t only rely on Butler and Adebayo was the best fantasy producer on the team in the playoffs coming into this series.

Los Angeles Lakers

I am not sure what to make of the big man situation here. Markieff Morris ($3,000) closed out last game, but he was so terrible that I am not sure the Lakers can trust him in the clutch again. Morris finished with -0.25 DKFP and threw a pass out of bounds with seconds left on the clock in a one-point game. The decision gave off massive J.R. Smith ($1,000) vibes. Morris is still a viable value option, although we could see the Lakers turn back to Dwight Howard ($3,400) to play bigger minutes again.

If you are looking for a contrarian play from the Lakers, Rajon Rondo ($6,200) could see a bounce back in playing time. He’s struggled in this series and made more than 30% of his shots from the field just once, causing the Lakers to play Rondo just 18 minutes last game. Overall, he’s played well in the playoffs and Los Angeles could go back to him tonight. Rondo scores over a fantasy point per minute, so there is significant upside if he gets close to 30 minutes again.

I have some concerns with the heel injury that Anthony Davis ($11,800) is dealing with. He’s probable to play, so it’s as if he’s at risk of missing the game, but his production dipped after getting hurt on Friday. AD still scored 61 DKFP, but a lot of his production came early in the game. For this reason, I think LeBron James ($18,900 CP/$12,600) is the best player to roster in the Captain’s spot tonight. James played a playoff-high 42 minutes last game and scored 75.25 DKFP. Los Angeles might need another performance like that to close out this series.

The Outcome

Game 5 was pretty clearly the best game of the series and this should be another great one. I expect the Heat to hang close, but in the end, I think the Lakers close the series out on a big performance from LeBron. Eventually, Butler is going to have to slow down a bit and I think James might be able to play at this level for an infinite amount of time. It’s wild to think that after all these years in the league, LeBron is still the best player in the NBA.

Final Series Score: Lakers 110, Heat 105

Set your DraftKings fantasy basketball lineups here: NBA Showdown $750K Finals Shootaround [$200K to 1st] (LAL vs MIA)

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I am a promoter at DraftKings and am also an avid fan and user (my username is gehrenberg) and may sometimes play on my personal account in the games that I offer advice on. Although I have expressed my personal view on the games and strategies above, they do not necessarily reflect the view(s) of DraftKings and I may also deploy different players and strategies than what I recommend above. I am not an employee of DraftKings and do not have access to any non-public information.

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