clock menu more-arrow no yes

Filed under:

DraftKings Fantasy Football DFS Trends and Early NFL Predictions for Week 6

Steve Buchanan analyzes three player performances from Week 5 and gives his take on if it’ll continue or not in Week 6.

There is nothing better than some overreactions after the dust settles on a football Sunday. All of us armchair quarterbacks go and make our critiques and tell all our friends and family about what we would have done differently.

The great thing for me is, they asked me to do this and YOU’RE sitting here reading it! How about that?

For this piece, each week we’ll take a look at some players that either potentially overachieved or underachieved and what the outlook for them is moving forward — specifically for next week’s game. Are they set up for more success or could someone have simply had a bad week? My job here is to try and figure that out and relay that information to you. Let’s take a look!

Oh, feel free to tell me how wrong I am by getting at me on Twitter @SBuchanan24.

Set your DraftKings lineups here: NFL Showdown $1,75M Monday Night Millionaire [$500K to 1st]


Chase Claypool, Pittsburgh Steelers
Week 5 Fantasy Total: 45.6 DKFP

So like, what the hell, man?

No one really enjoyed the performance Claypool put on because he had an average ownership of 0.52%. 0.52%!!!!!!! A total of 1.16% of you had him in the Milly Maker, so props to you select few, but truly it was more agonizing to watch his monster game.

The stage was set after Diontae Johnson ($5,600) was forced out of this game early due to a back injury. This lead to 52 snaps for Claypool, who made almost every single one count. He was targeted 11 times which he converted into seven receptions for 110 yards and THREE touchdowns. Just for kicks and giggles, Claypool rushed the ball three times, gaining six yards and ANOTHER touchdown. As you’d imagine, this vaulted him to the top of the fantasy leaderboard for the early afternoon games.

Week 6 will bring a matchup against the Browns, who coming into Week 5 have been one of the worst secondaries in the league. Through four weeks, the Browns have allowed an average of 211 receiving yards, a 68% catch rate and eight touchdowns scored, the second-most in the league. Claypool is going to draw massive attention next week but it’s worth watching the status of Johnson. Of course, if he can’t play, Claypool will be in a great position to continue to produce. If Johnson is in, I think we have to reel back our expectations a bit here for the rookie. Regardless, all of us will be late to the party while the 0.52% got the invitation early.


Travis Fulgham, Philadelphia Eagles
Week 5 Fantasy Total: 34.2 DKFP

Another player absolutely no one was on this week was Fulgham. He drew an average ownership of 0.25% and a 0.5% in the Milly Maker. Think about this for a second. If somehow, in some sick and twisted way, your build led you to Fulgham and Claypool, you would have scored 79.8 DKFP at less than 1% ownership for both. You would deservingly win the Milly but everyone would wonder what voodoo magic you possess.

Fulgham won’t receive the buzz that Claypool will but I think that’s correct. Sure, his game today was completely out of the blue but this is not sustainable. This is already his third team since being drafted in the sixth round in 2019, going from the Lions to the Packers and now to the Eagles. If the Eagles are healthy, which has been a struggle, he wouldn’t be sniffing the field. The Eagles could be getting back both DeSean Jackson and Alshon Jeffery, which along with Greg Ward, would eliminate any real opportunity for Fulgham. If, for any reason, these guys can’t return, Fulgham would be back in play. He played on 46 on the Eagles’ 59 offensive snaps, playing 56% wide and 41% out of the slot.


Terry McLaurin, Washington Football Team
Week 5 Fantasy Total: 5.6 DKFP

This is looking like it could end up being a lost season for McLaurin. The Washington Football Team is moving on from Dwayne Haskins Jr, even going as far as looking to trade him, according to a report from Jason La Canfora of CBS Sports. Kyle Allen made the start but was knocked out of this game after taking a shot to the head. It brought on a feel-good moment for football, with Alex Smith coming into this game as Allen’s backup. That fuzzy feeling quickly dissipated, as Smith would go on to take six sacks while completing 9-of-17 passes for 37 yards.

The matchup on paper looks good for McLaurin against the Giants, who have been one of the more generous secondaries in the league to opposing wide receivers. Prior to their Week 5 game against the Cowboys, the Giants allowed an average of 146 receiving yards, a 68% catch rate and five touchdowns scored. The problem is, McLaurin is going to be catching passes from either Allen or Smith. With the Football Team’s offensive line looking shaky as it is, McLaurin is going to be a tough sell moving forward.

Set your DraftKings lineups here: NFL Showdown $1,75M Monday Night Millionaire [$500K to 1st]


Put your knowledge to the test. Sign up for DraftKings and experience the game inside the game.


I am a promoter at DraftKings and am also an avid fan and user (my username is steveazors) and may sometimes play on my personal account in the games that I offer advice on. Although I have expressed my personal view on the games and strategies above, they do not necessarily reflect the view(s) of DraftKings and I may also deploy different players and strategies than what I recommend above. I am not an employee of DraftKings and do not have access to any non-public information.

If you or someone you know has a gambling problem, crisis counseling and referral services can be accessed by calling 1-800-GAMBLER (1-800-426-2537) (IL). Gambling problem? Call 1-800-GAMBLER (NJ/WV/PA), 1-800-9-WITH-IT (IN), 1-800-522-4700 (NH/CO) or 1-800-BETS OFF (IA). 21+ (18+ NH). NJ/PA/WV/IN/NH/IA/CO/IL only. Eligibility restrictions apply. See draftkings.com/sportsbook for full terms and conditions.