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DraftKings Fantasy Football Early Look: NFL Week 6 DFS Picks, Sleepers, Fades

Julian Edlow goes position-by-position breaking down some of the best and worst NFL targets for Week 6’s main DraftKings fantasy football slate, which locks at 1:00 p.m. ET on October 18.

Things are officially out of control in the NFL, with COVID issues moving around multiple pieces of the schedule. But we plow through, regardless, with a slightly adjusted Week 6 slate ahead of us. Here’s what jumps out in my first look at Week 6.

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Quarterback

Expensive

Aaron Rodgers, Green Bay Packers at Tampa Bay Buccaneers ($7,500) — Rodgers was dominant in the first quarter of the season, tossing 13 touchdowns without an interception. It’s not the best matchup against the Bucs, but Rodgers has been putting up these numbers with no names at WR. Now Davante Adams ($8,000) is likely returning coming out of the bye, adding an entirely new element back into this offense.

Deshaun Watson, Houston Texans at Tennessee Titans ($7,000) — Watson’s stock has been trending upward over the past few weeks, finally getting some favorable matchups after a brutal three-game stretch at the top of the schedule. Since then, Watson’s scored 24 DKFP against the Vikings and 30 DKFP against the Jaguars. The Titans rank just 28th in DKFP allowed to QBs entering Tuesday’s game against Buffalo and leave Watson in another high-ceiling matchup.

Cheap

Kirk Cousins, Minnesota Vikings vs. Atlanta Falcons ($6,100) — Cousins has proven capable of at least taking advantage of good matchups this season and now gets a spot that’s almost impossible to fail in — a home matchup against the Falcons. Atlanta’s already poor secondary is decimated with injuries and the Vikings are expected to be without Dalvin Cook (adductor), which could lead to more passing. This should be an extremely fantasy-friendly game across the board.

Other Options: Ryan Fitzpatrick ($5,900), Carson Wentz ($5,600)


Running Back

Expensive

Alexander Mattison, Minnesota Vikings vs. Atlanta Falcons ($7,200) — I mentioned Cook’s absence above, and while we don’t get any kind of discount on Mattison, he’s still in a terrific spot. The Falcons rank just 28th in DKFP allowed to RBs this season, particularly catching the ball out of the backfield. This isn’t something Mattison generally does but should be asked to do more with Cook out. Last week, he brought in all three of his targets for 24 yards. He shredded the Seattle defense for 112 rushing yards on 20 carries and is looking at a better matchup on Sunday.

Mike Davis, Carolina Panthers vs. Chicago Bears ($7,000) — Who are your Week 6 RBs to pay up for? Alexander Mattison and Mike Davis, of course. Classic 2020. Aaron Jones ($7,600) is a good play but should see less work in the receiving game if Adams plays. Derrick Henry ($7,300) is always a consideration, but played on Tuesday and thus will be on a very short week. Davis is just the safer play, averaging over 25 DKFP since Christian McCaffrey went down. Keep plugging him in as a home favorite against a Bears team that’s extremely fortunate to be 4-1.

Cheap

David Montgomery, Chicago Bears at Carolina Panthers ($5,800) — Speaking of the Bears, Montgomery owns that backfield now with Tarik Cohen out of the mix. The Panthers might be winning games, but it’s no thanks to their run defense, which allows the most DKFP to the RB position. Montgomery found his way to 18.9 DKFP against the Bucs without even playing well. Volume and matchup give Monty a ton of upside on this slate.

Other Options: Myles Gaskin ($5,400), David Johnson ($5,400), Devonta Freeman ($4,900)


Wide Receiver

Expensive

Calvin Ridley, Atlanta Falcons at Minnesota Vikings ($7,800) — Take out Ridley’s weird zero-point dud in Week 4 and he’s averaging 28.5 DKFP in the other four games. Of course, some of that production came with Julio Jones ($6,700) off the field, but Ridley has proven he can also dominate opposite Jones. If Julio does play through his hamstring injury, he makes for a strong buy-low candidate, but Ridley has been the more consistent option. Look for the Falcons to make a statement following a coach firing and airing it out against a Minnesota defense that allows the fourth-most DKFP to WRs is a good way to do that.

Adam Thielen, Minnesota Vikings vs. Atlanta Falcons ($7,300) — While I do love Mattison in this game, we can’t ignore how bad Atlanta’s secondary is. It ranks 28th in DKFP allowed to WR and Thielen has gotten going over the past two weeks in good matchups, exceeding 29 DKFP in each. Expect a lot of game stacks in this one, with Justin Jefferson ($6,000) another candidate to have a monster game.

Cheap

Chase Claypool, Pittsburgh Steelers vs. Cleveland Browns ($5,200) — Who’d you think was going to be featured here? Claypool is getting a ton of attention for his four-touchdown game against the Eagles, and it’s well deserved. He was targeted 11 times, finishing with a 7-110-3 line and also carrying the ball three times, scoring once (45.6 DKFP). This is a talented second-round WR that already had success in the early going this season, going for 88 yards and a touchdown (17.8 DKFP) in Week 2 against the Broncos. Claypool should factor into a huge role moving forward, and the Browns rank 27th in DKFP allowed to WR.

Other Options: Terry McLaurin ($5,700 — depending on starting QB), Keelan Cole ($4,900), Tim Patrick ($4,500), Travis Fulgham ($4,400 — if Alshon Jeffery and DeSean Jackson are out)


Tight End

Expensive

Robert Tonyan, Green Bay Packers at Tampa Bay Buccaneers ($5,100) — Tight end feels worse than usual this week. Mark Andrews ($6,500) is clearly in the best spot, but it’s doubtful most lineups will be able to afford him. Tonyan takes a massive leap in salary and Adams returning to the lineup should take away some red zone targets. That said, I don’t see why Rodgers would go away from what’s working, especially with the lack of receivers in this offense. Tonyan’s totaled 13 grabs for 173 yards and five touchdowns over the past three games.

Cheap

Trey Burton, Indianapolis Colts vs. Cincinnati Bengals ($3,100) — After starting the season on IR, Burton is quietly working his way into a role in the Colts’ offense. Last week he brought in 5-of-6 targets for 33 yards and faces a below average Cincy defense against the TE position in Week 6. This is a safe buy-low spot.

Other Options: Eric Ebron ($4,100), Darren Fells ($3,800 — if Jordan Akins is out)


D/ST

Expensive

Miami Dolphins D/ST ($2,900) vs. New York Jets — Is the Ravens’ D/ST ($4,500) in a great spot against the Eagles? Absolutely, but that’s a ton of salary to spend on defense. Why not just fade the Jets for under $3,000? The Dolphins have scored 12 DKFP in their most favorable matchups for their defense this season, including last week in San Francisco. This D/ST is too cheap because it’s the Dolphins. Any other home team with a capable defense would never be this cheap in this matchup.

Cheap

Cincinnati Bengals D/ST ($2,100) at Indianapolis Colts — If we go all the way down to the bottom, the Bengals feel like they can at least grind us out a few points in this spot. The Bengals’ D/ST just scored 3.0 DKFP in a 27-3 loss to the Ravens and now faces the much less-lethal Colts, getting some of the worst QB play in the NFL. The Browns’ D/ST just scored 13 DKFP in this matchup last week.

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I am a promoter at DraftKings and am also an avid fan and user (my username is jedlow) and may sometimes play on my personal account in the games that I offer advice on. Although I have expressed my personal view on the games and strategies above, they do not necessarily reflect the view(s) of DraftKings and I may also deploy different players and strategies than what I recommend above. I am not an employee of DraftKings and do not have access to any non-public information.

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