The COVID news continues to come fast and furious but WEEK 6 MUST GO ON!!!!
I’ll go over some of my favorite targets and values on this slate to help you build your lineups for Sunday’s main slate.
Oh, and follow me on Twitter. @SBuchanan24.
Ben Roethlisberger, Pittsburgh Steelers vs. Cleveland Browns, $6,700 — I feel like no one ever really talks about playing Big Ben when quite frankly, he’s been extremely consistent on the season. He’s scored no less than 19.1 DKFP, has thrown at least two touchdowns in each game and has a 70% completion rate. Now, he’ll be in a matchup up against a Browns team that has allowed an average of 313 passing yards, 23.5 DKFP and 12 touchdowns thrown. We’ve already gotten word that Diontae Johnson (back) will be out of this game, so it’ll be JuJu Smith-Schuster ($6,600) and the chalky Chase Claypool ($5,200) getting plenty of attention.
Other Option – Aaron Rodgers ($7,500)
Matthew Stafford, Detroit Lions vs. Jacksonville Jaguars, $6,300 — This slate presents a number of options at the quarterback position you can pay up for, and those are perfectly fine. I’m really digging using Stafford this week against a very poor Jacksonville secondary. Stafford has endured a really tough schedule thus far and is still averaging 254 passing yards while throwing eight touchdowns through four games. His adjusted completion percentage of 71.7% with a clean pocket is one of the worst in the league, but we also have to consider his matchups. With the Jaguars not applying much pressure against opposing QBs, this could set up to be a really strong spot for Stafford on the cheap. The Jags have allowed an average of 284 passing yards, a 75% completion percentage and 26 DKFP to the QB position, all of which are among the highest in the league.
Other Option – Ryan Fitzpatrick ($5,900)
Derrick Henry, Tennessee Titans vs. Houston Texans, $7,300 – If it wasn’t for the two touchdowns scored, Henry would have been a disaster against the Bills, rushing the ball 19 times for just 57 yards. I don’t think he’s going to have much trouble against the Texans in Week 6, who have allowed opposing teams to rush for at least 149 yards in four of the five games they’ve played. Aside from last week, Henry was averaging 106 rushing yards and 27.3 carries per game. This is a really strong bounce-back start (at least for Henry’s standards) and may not draw as much attention as you’d think, as Alexander Mattison ($7,200) is only $100 less.
Other Options – Mike Davis ($7,000), James Robinson ($6,800)
David Montgomery, Chicago Bears at Carolina Panthers, $5,800 – This is such a great spot for Montgomery against arguably one of the worst run defenses in the league. While his work on the ground hasn’t been great, he’s been racking up the catches, especially since Tarik Cohen went down. Since Cohen went on the IR after Week 3, Montgomery has converted 10 catches on 14 targets for 60 yards, helping him average 14.8 DKFP in that span. It doesn’t sound great but he’s had back-to-back tough matchups against the Colts and Buccaneers. Now he faces a Panthers team that’s allowing an average of 112 rushing yards and 57.6 receiving yards per game. A lock for 15-plus touches, Montgomery feels too cheap for this matchup.
Other Options – J.D. McKissic ($4,400), Myles Gaskin ($5,400)
Adam Thielen, Minnesota Vikings vs. Atlanta Falcons, $7,300 – Thielen has scored 29 DKFP in two straight weeks and who is going to stop him from doing so in Week 6? The Atlanta secondary is simply putrid. There is not one corner you don’t want to target against, putting Thielen in a prime spot. Playing 46% of his snaps on the left side, he should draw coverage against CB A.J. Terrell. It’s been a really, really tough start for Terrell even with playing just three weeks. Terrell’s been targeted against 12 times and has allowed 11 receptions for 141 yards and a touchdown. With Thielen amassing 33% of the team’s target share and 55.3% in the red zone, he’s in for a potential monster week.
Other Options – Kenny Golladay ($6,200), Will Fuller V ($6,800)
Damiere Byrd, New England Patriots vs. Denver Broncos, $3,500 – Before the Patriots ran into (and are still dealing with) COVID issues, Byrd was quietly moving his way up the receiver depth chart. After seeing zero targets in Week 1, Byrd has gone on to average 7.3 in three games since, going for 179 yards. We haven’t seen a ton of deep throws from Cam Newton ($6,500) but when we have, they go to Byrd and Julian Edelman ($5,600). Byrd has accounted for four of the nine targets and has made two catches for 45 yards. At this low salary, Byrd is a great salary saving option, who should see plenty of looks against a very beatable Denver secondary.
Other Options – Preston Williams ($4,700), Travis Fulgham ($4,400)
Mark Andrews, Baltimore Ravens at Philadelphia Eagles, $6,500 – If you’re paying up at tight end, Andrews is your best option. Yes, he is the most expensive player on the board, but his matchup and red zone usage should make it worth it. The Eagles have been one of the worst teams against the tight end position, allowing five touchdowns scored and an average of 19.4 DKFP and 64.6 receiving yards. When the Ravens aren’t running the ball in the red zone, they’re going to Andrews, who is dominating with a 32.3% target share. No one is even close to Andrews, as Willie Snead IV ($3,500) is next in line at 10%. With five touchdowns to his credit already, Andrews is totally worth paying up for.
Other Options – T.J. Hockenson ($5,300)
Trey Burton, Indianapolis Colts vs. Cincinnati Bengals, $3,100 – I wrote up Burton here last week and I don’t care that I’m doing it again in Week 6. His situation has improved quite a bit from last week, as we got word Friday that Mo Alie-Cox has been ruled out. That now leaves Burton and Jack Doyle ($2,700) at the position. It’s quite clear Burton is the No. 1 option as he has 11 targets on 38 routes. Doyle, even without Burton in the mix, has just seven targets on 81 routes run. With one less mouth to feed and a Bengals team allowing an average of 13.3 DKFP and an average of 63.4 receiving yards to opposing tight ends, the salary on Burton is once again too low to ignore.
Other Option – Irv Smith Jr. ($2,500)
Indianapolis Colts D/ST vs. Cincinnati Bengals, $4,000 – I hate paying up for D/ST on a given week but whatever, no one cares about anything anymore in 2020. The Colts are in a really good spot against the quarterback that has been pressured on more dropbacks than any other, Joe Burrow ($5,400). Burrow has been under pressure on 95 dropbacks, which is 39% total. He’s taken 21 sacks and has an adjusted completion percentage of 62.7% in those situations. The Colts boast 11 sacks on the season and have induced 43 hurries.
Other Option – Washington Football Team ($3,300)
Miami Dolphins D/ST vs. New York Jets, $2,900 – The Dolphins pass rush has been fairly underrated so far this season. Now they get to face a Jets offensive line that has allowed their quarterbacks to be under pressure on 38% of their combined dropbacks, resulting in 14 sacks. Joe Flacco ($5,100) took two in his debut last week and was under pressure on 39% of his dropbacks. This should be a very enticing way to pay down at defense but not one that’ll be sneaky by any means.
Other Option – Cincinnati Bengals ($2,100)
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