The NFC East is about as gross as it gets right now. With how awful the Dallas Cowboys and Philadelphia Eagles have looked, the division is somehow wide open. Even the New York Giants, who got their first win of the season over Washington in Week 6, would be alive in the NFC East if they can swing this win as 4.5-point dogs in Philly. Here’s what jumps out to me on DraftKings Sportsbook.
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Fulgham has been Carson Wentz’s go-to-guy since he burst onto the scene three games ago, totaling an 18-284-3 line on 26 targets since then. He’s found the end zone in all three games, thanks to his massive 50% red zone target share. DeSean Jackson returns tonight, but the Eagles are still without Dallas Goedert, Zach Ertz, Alshon Jeffery, Jalen Reagor and Miles Sanders. Not many options to throw to here, so expect Wentz to keep going to what’s been working.
Who leads the G-Men in rushing this season? Well, that would be Jones at 209 yards. Since Saquon Barkley went down in Week 2, Danny Dimes is averaging over 40 rushing yards per game, and the team’s actually been calling plays for the QB to run the ball. Jones gained 49 yards on five carries against the 49ers in Week 3, 45 yards on six carries against the Rams the following week, and then 74 yards on seven carries against Washington last week — including a designed 49-yard rush. The Eagles rank 21st in the NFL in rushing yards allowed per game.
I don’t play too many QB rushing props, let alone two in the same game, but this is a weird, gross game, like we’ll be saying about every NFC East matchup this season. Miles Sanders is out, and Boston Scott disappointed as his replacement back in Week 1. Philly’s offensive line has been atrocious, which has led to Wentz relying on scrambling, particularly with so many missing weapons in the passing game. Over the last three games, Wentz has easily exceeded this total three times, with 65 yards against Cincy, 37 against the Niners and 49 last week against Baltimore. The miss was also somewhat close, rushing for 11 yards against a stout Pittsburgh run defense. The Giants actually have a solid defensive line, and that pressure could lead to scrambling attempts.
If you lean the Eagles to win the division, which I think many do following what we saw in Dallas on Monday night, I think this is the time to pull the trigger. The Eagles are favored to at least win this game against the Giants, and the Cowboys could actually struggle in Washington — a terrible Dallas O-line vs. a strong Washington D-line. That pitiful tie against the Bengals could prove very valuable in this division.
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I am a promoter at DraftKings and am also an avid fan and user (my username is jedlow) and may sometimes play on my personal account in the games that I offer advice on. Although I have expressed my personal view on the games and strategies above, they do not necessarily reflect the view(s) of DraftKings and I may also deploy different players and strategies than what I recommend above. I am not an employee of DraftKings and do not have access to any non-public information.
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