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MLB World Series Best Bets: Baseball Picks, Predictions to Consider on DraftKings Sportsbook for October 24

Steve Buchanan gives his best bets on DraftKings Sportsbook for Saturday’s MLB betting card.

MLB: NLCS-Atlanta Braves at Los Angeles Dodgers Jerome Miron-USA TODAY Sports

The Dodgers took a 2-1 series lead Friday night after taking down the Rays by a score of 6-2 at Globe Life Field. If the Rays are looking to get back in this series, they’ll have to go through lefty Julio Urias while the Dodgers will combat Ryan Yarbrough. Let’s take a look at some of my favorites bets over on the DraftKings Sportsbook.

As always, feel free to follow me on Twitter @SBuchanan24.

DraftKings users can get in on the MLB action by betting on DraftKings Sportsbook or by downloading the DK Sportsbook app.

Los Angeles Dodgers vs. Tampa Bay Rays:

Total Runs - First 5 innings Under 4.5 -125

The two lefties taking the mound for this game have me looking at the under through the first five innings. Julio Urias has been nearly untouchable through the postseason, allowing just two runs (one earned) on seven hits while striking out 16 through 16 innings. While the Rays were a very strong team against lefties, posting a .347 wOBA with a .217 ISO and a 124 wRC+, they were oddly not a strong team against the fastball, ranking 26th in the league during the regular season. Urias threw that pitch 56% of the time while mixing in a change, a curveball and a slider.

As for the Dodgers, they have some of their best bats with some unimpressive numbers against lefties. Did you know during the regular season that amongst players with at least 50 plate appearances against lefties, Mookie Betts had the second-lowest ISO at .018 and 56 wRC+, which ranked 18th? Cody Bellinger only had a .294 wOBA and a .149 ISO against lefties. Don’t get me wrong, guys like Corey Seager and A.J. Pollock had some really, really good numbers against lefties but these aren’t strong matchups for either side. Thus, I’m looking at the under for the first five innings.

I also don’t mind a small play on Under 0.5 runs in the first inning.

Set your DraftKings fantasy baseball lineups here: MLB® Showdown $400K WORLD SERIES® Scuffle [$100K to 1st] (LAD vs TB)

Los Angeles Dodgers vs. Tampa Bay Rays:

Julio Urias Strikeouts Over 5.5 +115

I’m almost always on a strikeouts prop against the Rays, who were one of the most strikeout-prone teams in the league. Urias is averaging a strikeout per inning in these playoffs despite just a 7.3 K/9 through 55 innings during the regular season. Through these playoffs, the Rays are averaging nearly 11 strikeouts per game having struck out 180 times through 17 games. The Rays had one of the highest swing-and-miss rates in the league during the regular season at 12.2%, which ranked eighth-highest. As I mentioned, they were not a strong team against the fastball, so Urias has the advantage here in this game.

Los Angeles Dodgers vs. Tampa Bay Rays:

Mike Brosseau Under 0.5 Hits +105

So this is a strategy play and trying to map out how I think this game will go. Brosseau has FAR better numbers against lefties than he does righties, so he’ll likely draw the start against Urias. So if that’s the case, why would we want to take the under on this total?

This bet is only active if he starts, so that’s an important part of it. If he doesn’t, you’ll simply be refunded your bet. If he does, he likely won’t be in this game for long. Once Urias is out, as long as the Dodgers go to a righty in the bullpen, the Rays are very likely to lift Brosseau for a pinch-hitter. So if I’m correct that Urias could go around five innings in this game, we potentially only need to sweat out two at-bats for Brosseau. Getting plus money on that makes it all the more enticing. If he’s out of this game early, we could haul in a nice win at plus money.

EDITOR’S NOTE: Brosseau is in the lineup for tonight’s game vs. the Dodgers.

Set your DraftKings fantasy baseball lineups here: MLB® Showdown $400K WORLD SERIES® Scuffle [$100K to 1st] (LAD vs TB)

All odds provided by DraftKings Sportsbook and all odds subject to change.

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I am a promoter at DraftKings and am also an avid fan and user (my username is steveazors) and I may sometimes play on my personal account in the games that I offer advice on. Although I have expressed my personal view on the games and strategies above, they do not necessarily reflect the view(s) of DraftKings and I may also deploy different players and strategies than what I recommend above. I am not an employee of DraftKings and do not have access to any non-public information.