These are the tournaments that either give way to a breakthrough win or revive a career. Brendon Todd, the winner of last season’s tournament, was a +10000 longshot who resurrected his career by winning here and then followed it up with a win in Mexico at the OHL a couple of weeks later. Todd now ranks inside the Top 50 in OWGR. Collin Morikawa also recorded his first win at the Baracuda Championship, so we’ve seen these tournaments serve as a launching pad for golfers, which is how we should build our card this week.
Todd won this tournament the same way he played all season — hitting fairways and making putts. Port Royal GC is a short course that’ll give way to fairway finders like Brian Gay (+25000) and Todd as well as big hitters like Scottie Scheffler and Harry Higgs. All four golfers performed exceptionally well here last season, which allows us to take some dart throws deeper on the board who share the same characteristics in their game.
Redman is the one guy I’m targeting in this range. The course will favor the ball strikers who are accurate off-the-tee, a skill which Doc has in spades. Redman ranks ninth in fairways gained and fifth in approach since the restart. Redman also ranks fifth in birdies or better gained over the same duration and is fourth in SG: Total. The field is much easier than what Redman has recently competed against and he ranks fourth in SG: Total over the previous three months. Russell Knox (+6600) is also another golfer I’m interested in this week. Refer to the DraftKings preview for the reasons why.
Sandwiched between his two missed cuts over his past three tournaments is a 21st-place finish at Corales Puntacana, where he gained 5.3 strokes total. Kramer’s two best finishes on TOUR have also come on coastal courses. Back in 2019, Hickok finished 10th at the Corales and 15th here at the Bermuda Championship. It’s safe to say he’s comfortable on these tracks and plays well in windy conditions.
Taylor isn’t someone who garners a ton of trust given he’s missed seven cuts in a row, but he loves these coastal courses, finishing 10th at The RSM Classic and second at OHL in 2019. Taylor missed the cut at the Shriners by one stroke and has been hitting it well over his past 24 rounds, ranking 15th in fairways gained, 22nd in proximity from 100 to 125 yards and seventh in both proximity from 200-plus yards out and opportunities gained. Taylor is a longshot and should be treated as such, but is also someone who could out perform his odds.
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