Here are some NFL bets that jump out in Week 8 on DraftKings Sportsbook.
Aaron Rodgers and the Packers put up 43 points on Minnesota in Week 1, and have been pretty dominant since then. Meanwhile, the Vikings have come completely undone and became sellers during their bye week. Green Bay is 5-1 straight-up and against the spread this season, covering in all five of its victories. The Packers have also won and covered in their last three matchups with the Vikings, dating back to last season — winning by an average of nine points. Green Bay has also covered eight of the last 11 home games in this division rivalry, so with one of the worst Vikings squads in recent history coming to town, I’m going to say Rodgers and company will take care of business.
This is no doubt the game of the weekend — which the Steelers can say they’re playing in for the second week in a row. But I think Pittsburgh’s win over Tennessee in a battle of undefeated teams is getting more hype ahead of this game, while it’s easy to forget about the Ravens coming off a bye week. Baltimore also has the only loss between the two teams, and it’s a memorable one — getting blown out in a primetime game by the Chiefs. John Harbaugh has been spectacular off the bye as the head coach of the Ravens, going 10-2 SU and 9-3 ATS (per OddsShark) — including a 17-point home win over the undefeated Patriots as 3-point home dogs last season. While Pittsburgh’s 5-1 ATS record stands out, Baltimore actually is outscoring its opponents by the widest margin (12.5 PPG). The Steelers are for real, but I don’t think they’re quite on the Ravens’ level yet.
The Rams are my favorite play this week, facing Tua Tagovailoa in his first NFL start. While it’s a great story, I’m not so sure about the decision to throw Tua in there against such a good defense. Ryan Fitzpatrick had been one of the most pressured QBs so far this season, and while his scrambling has been impressive, he’s also taken some big hits. This is going to be a big ask from Tua in his debut.
Part of the reason why this line is so short is because we just saw the Rams on MNF, and now they travel east to face the Dolphins, who are coming off a bye. But the trends surprisingly back the Rams in this spot — since 2003, teams on a short week facing a team off a bye are 25-9-1 ATS, per BetLabs. Those teams on the short week are 11-1-1 ATS as the road team, 14-3 ATS as the favorite, 4-1 ATS as the road favorite, and 3-0 ATS as a West Coast team playing on the East Coast.
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