A gross 1-4 week in Week 3 dropped NFL Best Bets Sunday plays to 8-7 for the season. Week 4 has a little more clarity on spots I want to target. Here are some bets that jump out in Week 4 on DraftKings Sportsbook.
We had a COVID-19 scare in this game, but it looks like the Saints had a false positive and it’ll be game on. Outside of Alvin Kamara, the Saints have looked pretty terrible at all other positions this season. Drew Brees has really been struggling without Michael Thomas, and we can now add Jared Cook to the list of inactives. The Lions will also get back top corner Desmond Trufant for this game. On the other side of the ball, New Orleans has been one of the least disciplined defense in the league. The Saints’ defense has been heavily penalized to this point and now will be without both its top corners. The Lions looked much better with Kenny Golladay back last week and should really expose the Saints.
Speaking of Golladay, I can’t pass up on this spot for him. He brought in 6-of-7 targets in his season debut last week, and now faces a dreadful Saints secondary without two starters. Look for a big game here.
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This is a simple play that I’m not overthinking. NFL Network’s Ian Rapoport is reporting that Washington is prepared to bench Haskins if he isn’t playing well against a tough Baltimore defense looking to bounce-back from an embarrassing MNF showing — that’s probably not good for Haskins. Anytime we can play an under on someone that has a good shot to not play the full game, we have to fire away.
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Moneyline Parlay Combos
When a week sets up the right way, I like to make a pool of teams to tease or put in a moneyline parlay. It worked out great in Week 2 and now we’ll go back to it with a three-team pool.
The Dolphins are a trendy home dog this week and will put up some points on a depleted Seattle defense. However, Miami’s defense will have zero answers for Russell Wilson, who we’ll also look to capitalize on in the props. The MVP frontrunner has been in complete control of every game so far this season, so I’m not afraid of the line moving against us here.
The 49ers are probably my strongest spot of the week, despite being one of the most beat-up teams in the NFL. The Eagles are pretty equally dinged, especially when it comes to pass-catchers. That’s not good news for Carson Wentz, who’s arguably been the worst starting QB in the NFL. The Niners just need to play solid defense, run the ball and get George Kittle involved in his return and they should be able to pull this one out pretty easily.
The Falcons will win a game at some point and Green Bay’s defense doesn’t provide much resistance. However, Aaron Rodgers is going to have a much easier time carving Atlanta’s secondary, regardless of who suits up at WR. The Packers have put up at least 37 in each game this season.
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