Both teams are banged up, but the 49ers have managed to get off to a solid start to the season while the Eagles might be the biggest disappointment in the NFL. The Niners have blown up to a nine-point home favorite in this one, with the total sitting at 45.5. Let’s break down Packers-Saints from an SNF DraftKings Showdown perspective.
Set your DraftKings fantasy football lineups here: NFL $1M Sunday Night Showdown [$250K to 1st] (PHI vs SF)
Carson Wentz ($10,400) has been playing as poorly as any QB in the NFL, yet is somehow the most expensive play on this slate. Wentz’s 18 DKFP average isn’t all that awful but the ratio of three touchdown passes to six picks is. Despite all the injuries on defense, the Niners rank fourth in DKFP allowed to QB. The Eagles will be without Alshon Jefferey, DeSean Jackson, Jalen Reagor, Dallas Goedert and most likely J.J. Arcega-Whiteside ($200), who is doubtful with a calf injury. Rostering Wentz is a big no-no for me.
EDITOR’S NOTE: Eagles WR J.J. Arcega-Whiteside (calf) will be inactive tonight vs. the 49ers.
So is there any value with pass-catchers on the Eagles? I think so, as game script dictates them playing from behind with limited options to target. Zach Ertz ($7,200), despite the poor start to the season, is the obvious answer here. Ertz is averaging just 11.3 DKFP but did get 10 targets last week with Goedert exiting during the game. Add on the WR losses, and this feels like a game Ertz could see 12 to 15 targets. I’ll roster him even in the poor matchup, strictly based on volume.
Greg Ward ($5,000) could be literally the only healthy WR play on this slate for Philly. He was heavily targeted against the Bengals, bringing in 8-of-11 targets for 72 yards and a TD. Again, if you want to play him, he should be safe on volume alone, especially if game script holds.
By no means is Miles Sanders ($9,200) in a good matchup, but he’s going to be heavily utilized in this offense, especially with the lack of weapons. He’s another potential play, but as sizable dogs, Ertz and Ward are probably safer, especially considering the savings.
San Francisco 49ers
Nick Mullens ($9,800) is without a doubt the better QB play on the slate. After going for 20 DKFP against the Giants, Mullens is a fine play here in an average matchup. I think he should be a popular play, so if you want to be a little contrarian, you could fade QB altogether on this slate.
One of the reasons Mullens is a stronger play this week is that he’s getting his best two pass-catchers back. George Kittle ($9,400) will play for the first time since Week 1 and gets a terrific matchup against a Philly defense that’s been carved up by TE so far this season.
It took me a while to find Deebo Samuel ($200) in the player pool. That’s because he’s at the very bottom and was priced to miss this game. Samuel has been on IR with a foot injury but will play in this game. He’s a free space and you simply can’t afford to pass on him.
As for other San Fran WR plays, we still have room to roster any play we want with the Deebo savings. Brandon Aiyuk ($7,800) looked terrific against the Giants, gaining 101 yards on eight touches, scoring a rushing touchdown. Kendrick Bourne ($5,800) would be my only other consideration. No need to spend down too much with Samuel’s discount.
With the top two RBs still out for the Niners, Jerick McKinnon ($8,200) and Jeff Wilson ($7,000) should both see plenty of work. Honestly, you should probably play one of the two if you think the Niners win this game, and whichever price tag fits your build better is fine. I prefer the versatility of McKinnon.
49ers D/ST ($5,600) and Robbie Gould ($4,000) are also considerations.
We don’t even need to captain Deebo with how the slate is priced. Whoever the most expensive play you’re going to roster is who you should captain. Once Deebo is in your lineup, everything is on the board. Niners should dominate this one, and I might be underselling them on the final score.
Final Score: Eagles 17, 49ers 27
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I am a promoter at DraftKings and am also an avid fan and user (my username is jedlow) and may sometimes play on my personal account in the games that I offer advice on. Although I have expressed my personal view on the games and strategies above, they do not necessarily reflect the view(s) of DraftKings and I may also deploy different players and strategies than what I recommend above.