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Fantasy Football Picks, Fades: DraftKings NFL DFS Salary Risers and Fallers Ahead of Week 5

Steve Buchanan goes over four DraftKings NFL player salaries and how they either went up or down ahead of Week 5.

Judging by the lack of joyous tweets on the ol’ Twitter machine Sunday night, it seems as if not many were overly thrilled with the results of their Week 4 NFL lineups. Many people won for sure, but maybe it was just the people I follow that didn’t have a great Sunday. To be fair, a number of players didn’t have great days either and we’ll highlight some of those players who have seen their salaries drop on DraftKings ahead of Week 5. We’ll also look at some players that have had their salaries rise on DraftKings after some big performances as well.

Feel free to follow me on Twitter @SBuchanan24.

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Mike Davis ($6,400) at Atlanta Falcons

Week 4 Salary: $5,700 (+$700 increase)

One of the biggest increases of the week belongs to, rightfully so, Carolina Panthers RB Mike Davis. Without Christian McCaffrey in the mix, Davis continues to be the workhorse in the backfield, logging 16 carries for 84 yards and a touchdown along with five catches for 27 yards and 22.1 DKFP last week. The Falcons have been decent against opposing running backs (as I write this BEFORE the Packers game so I have the right to take this back) and prior to the Monday night game against the Packers, the Falcons allowed an average of 25 DKFP, 68 rushing yards and 38 receiving yards to running backs.

The catches allowed out of the backfield has been their biggest problem, which has been a huge strength for Davis thus far. Davis is averaging 17.5% of the Panthers’ targets, which is the third best mark on the team. With the Panthers expected to be playing from behind in this game, the game-script sets up perfectly for another week of Davis being a popular play.

Will Fuller V ($6,600) vs. Jacksonville Jaguars

Week 4 Salary: $5,900 (+$700 increase)

The matchup on paper was extremely attractive for Fuller, who delivered in a big way last week. Drawing seven targets, Fuller caught six of them for 108 yards, his second touchdown of the season and 25.8 DKFP. Fuller continues to thrive in the DeAndre Hopkins-less Texans offense, averaging 7.3 targets, 91.3 yards and 21.3 DKFP.

Of his 179 total snaps, 86 of them, or 48%, have come from the left side of the field. With that in mind, this should line him up in coverage against CB Tre Herndon, which is one of the better matchups he can draw. In coverage, Herndon has been targeted against 14 times, allowing nine receptions for 100 yards, 11.1 YPR and a touchdown. Fuller leads the team in target share at 18.4% and 12.5 YPT, which is the best on the team. With the amount of looks he’s getting and a favorable matchup, this should once again be a great spot for Fuller.

Michael Gallup ($5,400) vs. New York Giants

Week 4 Salary: $6,200 (-$800 decrease)

Aside from his from blowup game against the Seahawks in Week 3, it’s been silent for Gallup in the Cowboys’ other three games. Taking out that game, Gallup is averaging just 6.9 DKFP, 45.6 receiving yards and five targets per game. His 11.5 YPT is the best on the team but the yardage simply hasn’t been coming after the catch, as 54 of his 275 yards have come in that scenario.

Gallup has lined up almost evenly on both sides of the field, doing so 53% of the time on the left and 42% of the time on the right. If he continues to play most on the right side, he could end up drawing the tougher matchup against CB James Bradberry. He’s been targeted against 23 times and has allowed only 12 receptions for 145 yards, an average of 12.1 YPR and two touchdowns scored. Bradberry could see some of Amari Cooper ($7,400) as well but either way, this doesn’t set up for a great spot for Gallup. With Dak Prescott ($7,400) continuing to focus on Cooper and CeeDee Lamb ($6,000), it’s hard to justify using Gallup in anything but tournaments.

A.J. Green ($4,800) at Baltimore Ravens

Week 4 Salary: $5,500 (-$700 decrease)

Green is seeing a healthy dose of targets, averaging 8.2 per game, but he’s simply not doing anything with them. Making only 14 catches, Green has a total of 119 yards, which has plummeted his average yards to just 29.8 per game. Joe Burrow’s ($6,000) passer rating when targeting Green currently sits at 54, which is the second-worst in the league.

I can’t imagine his fortunes will change in Week 5, when the Bengals travel to Baltimore to face the Ravens. After being picked apart by Patrick Mahomes in Week 3, the Ravens bounced back in a big way defensively, holding the Washington Football Team to just 17 points despite Dwayne Haskins Jr. ($5,100) passing for 314 yards. Even at his lowest salary of the season, my interest in Green is literally zero.

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I am a promoter at DraftKings and am also an avid fan and user (my username is steveazors) and may sometimes play on my personal account in the games that I offer advice on. Although I have expressed my personal view on the games and strategies above, they do not necessarily reflect the view(s) of DraftKings and I may also deploy different players and strategies than what I recommend above. I am not an employee of DraftKings and do not have access to any non-public information.

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