Week 5 comes with plenty of uncertainty due to COVID-19 positive test results. In fact, as of Friday, Broncos-Patriots and Bills-Titans will not appear on the main slate due to complications. As we’ve come to learn quickly, things can change on a dime in 2020. Let’s get into my favorite targets for this week!
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Patrick Mahomes, Kansas City Chiefs vs. Las Vegas Raiders, $7,700 – This is looking more and more like a week where people will be looking to pay down at quarterback. That’s totally fine and viable, so if that’s your plan, by all means. Still, with that in mind, if I’m going to get good ownership on Mahomes, that is also extremely appealing. Going against a Raiders team with nearly no pass rush, he sports a 72% completion percentage with no pressure, while he also averages 7.6 YPA with eight of his 11 touchdowns thrown with a clean pocket. Through the first four weeks, Mahomes has scored at least 20.2 DKFP with two touchdowns thrown.
Other Option – Dak Prescott ($7,400)
Teddy Bridgewater, Carolina Panthers at Atlanta Falcons, $5,900 – Bridgewater is one of the options to use as a cheap quarterback this week and I expect him to draw some decent attention. For someone that’s hardly given the time of day when it comes to roster construction, Bridgewater is averaging a 73% completion percentage and 286 pass yards per game, but he’s only registered four total touchdowns thrown. His lack of touchdowns has been a bit of a concern, but he’s making up for that with his legs, averaging 17.5 rushing yards per game. The Falcons are being completely torn apart by opposing quarterbacks, allowing an average of 353 (!) passing yards, 13 overall touchdowns thrown — the most in the league — and 35.5 DKFP. With numbers like that, you can get a quarterback that is third in the league in completion percentage against a secondary that seemingly can’t stop anyone.
Other Option – Joe Burrow ($6,000)
James Robinson, Jacksonville Jaguars at Houston Texans, $6,700 – Despite being only $6.7K, Robinson is one of the most expensive options at this position and let me tell you, he should be worth every penny. Robinson handled 100% of the work at running back in Week 4 against the Bengals with 17 carries and four targets, which he turned into 107 yards and 14.7 DKFP. He now draws one of the best possible matchups against a Texans team allowing an average of 162 rushing yards, 5.3 YPC and 26.5 receiving yards to the position. His role in the receiving game will be huge with the Jaguars sitting as underdogs. His 11.5 YPR is one of the best in the league, while he also has the fifth-most YAC amongst running backs. Robinson won’t be scripted out no matter what and is good for at least 15 touches.
Other Options – Clyde Edwards-Helaire ($6,800), Mike Davis ($6,400)
Antonio Gibson, Washington Football Team vs. Los Angeles Rams, $5,000 – It looks as if the Dwayne Haskins Jr. ($5,100) era is over, as Kyle Allen ($4,100) will now start at QB. This could be good news for Gibson, who could end up being busy in this game. The Rams are big favorites, according to the DraftKings Sportsbook and that could mean more targets for Gibson. Coming off a season-high five in Week 4, Gibson faces a Rams’ run defense that’s allowed an average of 51.5 receiving yards and 7.1 YPT to opposing RBs. Gibson has been busy catching out of the backfield, even with J.D. McKissic ($4,000) also drawing 4.2 targets per game.
Other Options – Devonta Freeman ($4,600), D’Ernest Johnson ($4,700)
Tyreek Hill, Kansas City Chiefs vs. Las Vegas Raiders, $6,900 – I shudder to think what a $6.9K Hill can do to this Raiders secondary. I’m so used to Hill being in the mid-$7K range that this actually feels quite cheap. Hill plays all over the field, but 51% of his snaps have come out of the slot, where he’ll draw coverage from Raiders CB Lamarcus Joyner. In coverage, Joyner has allowed an average of 45.2 receiving yards per game and 110 YAC overall this season. Those YAC numbers are some of the biggest in the league, tied for sixth. I don’t think I need to really sell you on playing Hill, but this is such a great spot for him. He’s scored in each of the Chiefs’ four games this season despite being third on the team in red zone target share at 15.6%.
Other Options – JuJu Smith-Schuster ($6,700), CeeDee Lamb ($6,000)
Darius Slayton, New York Giants at Dallas Cowboys, $4,800 – After 102 yards against the Steelers, it’s been a quiet three weeks for Slayton, averaging just 7.1 DKFP and 24 receiving yards since. I think this is a great week for a turnaround for Slayton, who despite the poor numbers, is still drawing an average of 7.2 targets per game. Slayton primarily plays on the left side of the field, meaning he’ll draw Cowboys CB Darly Worley in coverage. Worley has been targeted against nine times allowing seven receptions and an average of 11.1 YPR. With how much the Cowboys secondary is being beat this season, Slayton could be a very solid option on the cheap.
Other Options – T.Y. Hilton ($4,900), Deebo Samuel ($5,300)
George Kittle, San Francisco 49ers vs. Miami Dolphins, $6,600 – Tight end is a tough position this week and one one I’m particularly crazy about paying up at. Kittle, of course, is the target king and will continue to be that. Granted, he’s not doing to draw 15 targets like he did last week (at least I think he won’t). Overall, the Dolphins have been a good team against opposing tight ends, but the first two weeks only saw them defend against a combined five targets, which turned into two receptions and 61 yards. Over the past two weeks, they’ve seen more funnelling to the position, as tight ends were targeted 16 times for 12 receptions and 90 yards. Kittle against S Eric Rowe is a very favorable matchup as he’s allowed a 73.3% catch rate on 15 targets.
Other Options – Mark Andrews ($6,200)
Trey Burton, Indianapolis Colts at Cleveland Browns, $2,900 – This is more of a tournament play rather than in cash, but Burton received five targets in his Colts debut in Week 4. The only problem is, Mo Alie-Cox ($4,200) and Jack Doyle ($3,300) are also involved. However, it was Burton that received the most targets with five and played on 50% of the offensive snaps and ran a route on 52% of them. While this may not continue as long as they’re using three tight ends, Burton as a flier at $2.9K is worth it in GPPs.
Other Option – Eric Ebron ($4,000)
Pittsburgh Steelers D/ST vs. Philadelphia Eagles, $3,800 – I absolutely love this spot for the Steelers against this swiss cheese offensive line for the Eagles. They’ve allowed Carson Wentz ($5,600) to be under pressure on 31% of his drop backs, which has lead to a 37.1% completion rate and just 4.5 YPA. Amazingly, five of the seven interceptions Wentz has thrown have come WITHOUT pressure, so take that for what it’s worth.
Other Option – Los Angeles Rams ($4,000)
Washington Football Team D/ST vs. Los Angeles Rams, $2,600 – On the surface, no one really wants to play the Washington Football Team defense because, well, they don’t win much. But, to be fair, they’ve been very good defensively. They have one of the better pass rushes in the league and are facing one of the worst quarterbacks when under pressure in Jared Goff ($6,500). He’s only been under pressure on 29% of his drop backs, but in that situation, he had just a 45.5% completion rate and 3.9 YPA. If you want to go back in 2019, he was under pressure on 36% of his drop backs and had a 42.3% completion rate and 5.7 YPA. At $2.6K, this is a really solid price for the potential.
Other Option – Indianapolis Colts ($3,300)
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I am a promoter at DraftKings and am also an avid fan and user (my username is steveazors) and may sometimes play on my personal account in the games that I offer advice on. Although I have expressed my personal view on the games and strategies above, they do not necessarily reflect the view(s) of DraftKings and I may also deploy different players and strategies than what I recommend above. I am not an employee of DraftKings and do not have access to any non-public information.
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