The 84th Masters Tournament will be unlike any other. Usually played in the first full week of April, the PGA TOUR, in conjunction with the Masters Tournament officials, rescheduled the Major for this week due to COVID-19.
The course may play different, and the weather could play a factor in how the course runs. The weather report shows rain in the forecast throughout the tournament, but as always, it’s best to check the forecast up until tee off Thursday morning if you’re looking to play some weather draws.
Augusta National is the ultimate test of golf. At over 7,400 yards, this artistic layout is easy on the eyes but tough on the scorecard. There are grueling stretches of holes like 10 through 12, arguably the most formidable trio on the PGA TOUR. There will be an excess of sidehill lies in the fairways and dramatic undulations on these fast, bentgrass greens.
Since 2015, past winners’ average odds are just under +3900. Danny Willett had the longest at +6600 in 2016, and Jordan Spieth was the shortest in 2015 at +1100. The Masters Tournament has seen longshots like Willett and Charl Schwartzel (+9000 in 2011) win, and there are some positive expected value (+EV) bets down the board this week. Still, this year shouldn’t be different from the five previous, and most of my betting card will consist of golfers at the top this week.
For a full course preview and key statistics breakdown, refer to the DraftKings Preview on DraftKings Playbook. Here are the golf bets we should be considering this week on DraftKings Sportsbook.
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Justin Thomas to Win +1300
Thomas ranks near the top at second in Approach over the previous 36 rounds, but backing JT is as simple as this: he wins. Thomas won the WGC-FedEx St. Jude Invitational earlier this season, which was one of the tougher fields since the restart, and just lost in a playoff to Collin Morikawa at Muirfield Village, a course that has some similarities to Augusta. Already a major winner, Thomas competes and wins when the competition and course are tough. His 13 wins span from WGC events to Majors to another demanding course like the 2018 Honda Classic. He’s progressed each year at Augusta and mentioned in his post-tournament presser last season that he should’ve won - this is the mindset I want to back this week. A 12th place at Augusta isn’t terrible for many golfers, but JT wants to win and knows he’s got the game that can.
Tony Finau to Win +3300 | Top 10 +250
Finau recorded a top 10 in his first trip to Augusta National back in 2018 and followed it up with a top five last season. Finau has the game to be successful at Augusta National, and it’s evident with how well he’s done in just two starts. With Finau, we all know the story. He’s hasn’t recorded a win since the 2016 Puerto Rico Open. Although his win equity isn’t significant, he’s been fantastic in the Majors. He’s finished no worse than eighth in his last three dating back to the 2019 Open Championship, where he finished third. His ball-striking is superb, and his putting has been solid, gaining 2.5 strokes on the greens in back-to-back tournaments. An 11th at the ZOZO Championship as well all point to him recording a high finish at another Major. Usually, I stay away from top 5 or top 10 bets at this short of a number, but it’s necessary with Finau, and so is backing him at a course that suits his game.
Si Woo Kim Top Korean Player +250
If you’re bullish on Kim like I am, he’s +20000 to win and +3000 to finish top 5 this week. While those are both longshots, him finishing as the top Korean player isn’t. Sungjae Im (+125) is the favorite in the group, and while he’s been great and getting back into form, Si Woo has the experience here that Sungjae doesn’t. Si Woo has two top 25s in the last two years and is no slouch either when it comes to ball-striking, ranking 27th over his previous 24 rounds. What also puts me on Kim’s side over Im this week is Si Woo’s short game. Over the last 36 rounds, he ranks second in SG: Around-the-Green to Sungjae’s 80th place ranking over the same time frame.
Place your PGA TOUR Masters golf bets at DraftKings Sportsbook and bet online by downloading the DraftKings Sportsbook app.
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