You came here to read about some of my picks for the Week 10 NFL slate on DraftKings, right? Cool. Let’s do that instead of a dumb intro that half of you don’t read anyways.
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Quarterback
Stud
Kyler Murray, Arizona Cardinals vs. Buffalo Bills, $8,000 — I hate putting Murray in this spot every week, but he’s simply the play. He’s involved, once again, in one of the highest-projected scoring games of the week against the Bills. One of the biggest advantages of using Murray is how much and well he uses his legs. I mean he’s AVERAGING 68 rushing yards per game. That’s more than some starting running backs in the league right now (*cough* David Montgomery *cough*). The Bills are a team you can run on, too, as four QBs have at least 20 rushing yards to their credit in this matchup. Cam Newton and Ryan Tannehill are the best examples, going 54 and 42, respectively. In all, this is just a long winded way of saying yeah, Murray is in play again.
Other Option – Josh Allen ($7,500)
Value
Jared Goff, Los Angeles Rams vs. Seattle Seahawks, $6,500 — Is Goff a value? One could say that $6.5K is a bit expensive for that moniker but luckily for me, I write up whoever the hell I want. This matchup against the Seahawks is simply too good. They’ve allowed opposing quarterbacks to average 30.4 (!) DKFP and 372 passing yards (!) per game, with 16 total touchdowns thrown. Now they’ll square-off with Goff, who shouldn’t face much of a pass rush and has an 84.2% adjusted completion percentage with 11 of his 14 touchdowns thrown with a clean pocket. We all know Goff is one of the worst QBs when dealing with pressure, but the Seahawks rank near the bottom of the league in that category. In what is expected to be a high scoring game, Goff is only the seventh-most expensive quarterback.
Other Option – Drew Lock ($5,500)
Running Back
Stud
Aaron Jones, Green Bay Packers vs. Jacksonville Jaguars, $7,100 – The Packers are one of the biggest favorites on this slate, according to the DraftKings Sportsbook. So, as a huge favorite up against a poor run defense, Jones checks two important boxes for rostering him this week. He’s handled 27.5% of the Packers’ total touches and has at least 15 carries in five of the six games he’s been active. Now he faces a Jaguars’ run defense that’s allowing an average of 98 rushing yards and 44 receiving yards to opposing RBs. If this game plays out like we think, Jones should easily see 20-plus touches in a good matchup.
Other Options – James Conner ($6,900)
Value
Leonard Fournette, Tampa Bay Buccaneers at Carolina Panthers, $5,500 – Maybe you came to this section expecting to see the minimum priced Mike Davis ($4,000) listed. Maybe you were hoping for a different option. Personally, I’m not big on using Davis this week even with him retaking the lead role in the offense. This is a tough Buccaneers run defense to combat and in the two weeks prior to McCaffrey returning in similar matchups, Davis went for 88 yards on 20 carries and 33 yards on six receptions against the Falcons and Saints combined. Targeting against the Bucs with an RB is not what I want.
Instead, I’ll be on the other side and taking Fournette. Like it or not, he’s taking the lead duties for the Bucs. Sure, we didn’t see it last week since they were getting blown out, but since Fournette was active in Week 7, he’s averaging 30% of the team’s touches while Ronald Jones ($5,300) is at 22.5% in that same span. In a very good matchup against a very poor Panthers run defense, Fournette could really thrive.
Other Options – J.D. McKissic ($4,900)
Wide Receiver
Stud
Stefon Diggs, Buffalo Bills at Arizona Cardinals, $7,500 – Going back to this game, the matchup for Diggs is truly mouthwatering. He should be drawing coverage against CB Patrick Peterson, who has been targeted against 44 times allowing 27 receptions (61.4% catch rate) for 383 yards (14.2 YPR) and a touchdown. It’s no secret that Diggs has become the favorite and primary weapon for Allen and it’s easy to see with Diggs drawing 29.3% of the Bills’ targets. Diggs has scored double-digit fantasy points in each game this season and is coming off a nine catch, 112 yard performance against the Seahawks. With the projected slugfest against the Cardinals, Diggs is not someone I would feel good about fading.
Other Options – Cooper Kupp ($6,900), DeAndre Hopkins ($7,700)
Value
Chris Conley, Jacksonville Jaguars at Green Bay Packers, $3,000 – We’ve had some nice value open up during the week and this one came late, as Laviskia Shenault Jr. (hamstring) was ruled out. This should push more targets to Conley, who caught seven of his eight for 52 yards against the Texans. This is a tougher matchup, no doubt, but you can’t beat the salary. DJ Chark Jr. ($6,200) is the deep threat on this team, but Conley has gotten his share as well with seven targets of 20-plus yards. Developing a quick rapport with QB Jake Luton ($5,400) last week didn’t hurt, either, especially with the Jags as massive underdogs, forcing them to throw plenty in this game.
Other Options – Darius Slayton ($4,800), Rashard Higgins ($4,600)
Tight End
Stud
T.J. Hockenson, Detroit Lions vs. Washington Football Team, $5,100 – We’ll have to keep an eye on Hockenson, who is listed questionable with a toe injury. If he’s active, though, it’s hard to not imagine him soaking up the targets in this game. Kenny Golladay (hip) is out once again, leaving Marvin Jones Jr ($5,200), Danny Amendola ($3,900) and Marvin Hall ($3,500) to try and fend off one of the best secondaries in the league. That’s good news for Hockenson, who has 19.5% of his team’s targets since Week 6. Against opposing tight ends, Washington has allowed an average of 15.8 DKFP and 58 receiving yards per game, with six total touchdowns scored.
Other Options – Evan Engram ($4,500)
Value
Jordan Akins, Houston Texans at Cleveland Browns, $2,900 – I’ve found myself in the basement pricing for tight ends more often than not this season and, quite frankly, the weather down here is lovely. This is a really, really great spot to buy-low on Akins, who returned after a three-week absence to catch two of his four targets for 19 yards last Sunday. Not great, right? I chalk this one up to the Texans easing him back into action and he should now be ready to go 100% in Week 10. Akins has been the man Deshaun Watson ($6,900) throws to amongst the tight ends and he faces a Browns team that’s been very generous to this position. Entering this game, they’ve allowed an average of 14.1 DKFP and 52.1 receiving yards per game with four total touchdowns. This game is a sneaky one for fantasy goodness.
Defense/Special Teams
Stud
Washington Football Team D/ST at Detroit Lions , $3,200 – I don’t feel the need to pay up for D/ST and have yet to do so this season. The Steelers D/ST ($4,400) are in a great spot against the Bengals, but I can’t drop the change for them. Washington is in a good spot as well for $1,200 cheaper and can look to make Matt Stafford’s ($5,800) Week 10 a difficult one. Stafford has been under pressure on 30% of his drop backs but has done well, boasting a 70.4% adjusted completion percentage. The problem is, getting the ball to his receivers will be a tall task this week. Washington has at least one sack per game and 11 over the past two weeks, but that’s due to the matchups against the Cowboys and Giants.
Other Option – Cleveland Browns ($2,900)
Value
New York Giants D/ST vs. Philadelphia Eagles, $2,700 – I think the Giants D/ST is one of the better values on the board this week for this position. The Eagles offensive line has been swiss cheese and the Giants D-Line has been quietly very efficient. They have 22 sacks on the season and were able to sack Carson Wentz ($5,900) three times earlier this year. When under pressure, which he has been on 36% of his dropbacks, Wentz has a 57.6% adjusted completion percentage, which is one the worst in the league, and four of his 12 interceptions.
Other Option – Los Angeles Rams ($2,200)
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