clock menu more-arrow no yes

Filed under:

DraftKings Fantasy Football Early Look: NFL Week 11 DFS Picks, Sleepers, Fades

Julian Edlow goes position-by-position breaking down some of the best and worst NFL targets for Week 11’s main DraftKings fantasy football slate, which locks at 1:00 p.m. ET on November 22.

We have a lot of the major offenses off of Sunday’s main DraftKings NFL slate and in the primetime games, as the Cardinals and Seahawks play on Thursday Night Football, the Chiefs and Raiders play on Sunday Night Football, and the Rams and Buccaneers play on Monday Night Football. While we may miss out on some high-scoring games, it also could help simplify things on the main slate. Here’s what jumps out in my first look at the Week 11 NFL slate on DraftKings.

Set your DraftKings fantasy football Millionaire lineups here: NFL $3.5M Fantasy Football Millionaire[$1M to 1st]


Quarterback

Expensive

Aaron Rodgers, Green Bay Packers at Indianapolis Colts ($7,000) — Rodgers continues to roll at a MVP pace, putting up another monster game in bad weather against the Jags. He has one dud so far this season — on the road against a good Tampa Bay defense. This week is a somewhat similar situation, playing at Indianapolis. Rodgers isn’t a terrible play, but just be cautious. It might be worth looking elsewhere in this matchup.

Ben Roethlisberger, Pittsburgh Steelers at Jacksonville Jaguars ($6,700) — Big Ben is one of those places to look, with a cushy matchup on the road against the Jags. Jacksonville ranks 29th in DKFP allowed to QB, and Ben has been slinging it against lesser competition the last two weeks — averaging over 30 DKFP against the Cowboys and Bengals.

Cheap

Jameis Winston, New Orleans Saints vs. Atlanta Falcons ($5,900) — Drew Brees (ribs/lung) is going to be out a while, and while the Saints will hold off on naming a starter, this sure seems like the exact scenario they landed Winston for. Jameis has had his struggles in the past, but now gets plugged into a high-flying New Orleans offense. He’ll make mistakes, but we know he’ll also make big plays with his arm. It’s a dream matchup to step into at home against the Falcons.

Other Options: Joe Burrow ($5,500), Alex Smith ($5,300)


Running Back

Expensive

Alvin Kamara, New Orleans Saints vs. Atlanta Falcons ($9,200) — No matter who the QB was going to be in this one, Kamara was locked in to be a terrific play. Maybe Jameis starting does mean the offense leans a bit more on Kamara, who’s just about as safe a play as you can find, regardless of matchup. Kamara bounced back from a season-low 15.9 DKFP against the Bucs with his third-best output of the season — 34.8 DKFP against the Niners. We saw just how many ways Kamara can hurt you, getting to that total despite rushing for just 15 yards on eight carries. Expect much more running room against Atlanta and plenty of looks in the passing game.

Dalvin Cook, Minnesota Vikings vs. Dallas Cowboys ($9,000) — Kamara should be a very chalky play, and we have a ton of RB value on the board this week. That should mean lower ownership for Cook, who has an extremely high floor due to the touches he’s locked into. In a dreadful matchup against the Bears on MNF, Cook still piled up 34 touches and exceeded 100 yards — with multiple chunk gains called back due to penalties. Things should really open up for a him as a big home favorite on DraftKings Sportsbook against Dallas.

Cheap

D’Andre Swift, Detroit Lions at Carolina Panthers ($6,400)

Editor’s note: Lions RB D’Andre Swift (concussion) has been ruled out this week.

Like I said, this week is loaded with potential value at RB — just look at all the names below. Swift is on the more expensive side, but I wanted to highlight the expanded role we finally saw the rookie in last week. The Lions inserted Swift into the featured role, and it resulted exactly how we thought it would. Swift handled 76% of the RB carries and 83% of the RB targets, turning it into a 16-81-0 line on the ground, and 5-68-1 line as a receiver (25.9 DKFP). Carolina ranks 30th in DKFP allowed to RB.

Other Options: Damien Harris ($5,700), Kalen Ballage ($5,600), Gio Bernard ($5,500 - if Joe Mixon is out), Duke Johnson ($5,400), Nyheim Hines ($5,200), Salvon Ahmed ($4,800), Rex Burkhead ($4,600)


Wide Receiver

Expensive

Davante Adams, Green Bay Packers at Indianapolis Colts ($8,600) — Adams has been as good as it gets at WR this season, dominating the matchup put in front of him week after week. In “weather games” against Minnesota and Jacksonville, he’s still managed to come through if you rostered him. The Colts will present the toughest matchup to date for Adams, so this is a spot I’d only look to in tournaments. Time to lay off here a bit.

Keenan Allen, Los Angeles Chargers vs. New York Jets ($7,400) — Allen’s fantasy day last week was somewhat saved with a late touchdown, but he still caught just 3-of-7 targets for 39 yards. We can chalk some of that up to a tough Miami defense, so there’s no reason to back down with the matchup transitioning to the Jets. New York ranks 23rd in DKFP allowed to WR, and prior to Week 10, Allen had seen double-digit targets in all six games he was healthy alongside Justin Herbert ($6,800).

Cheap

Jakobi Meyers, New England Patriots at Houston Texans ($4,900) — N’Keal Harry ($3,600) returned on Sunday night and played well over half the snaps without seeing a target. As long as Julian Edelman (knee) is out, and likely beyond, Meyers appears to be New England’s go-to-guy in the passing game. Since being inserted into the lineup four games ago, Meyers is averaging nearly 18 DKFP on over nine targets per game. The Pats will look to stick with the run-heavy offense given the matchup, but Meyers is practically the only trustworthy weapon in the passing game.

Other Options: Justin Jefferson ($6,000), Dionte Johnson ($5,900), Marvin Jones ($5,500 - if Kenny Golladay is out)


Tight End

Expensive

Eric Ebron, Pittsburgh Steelers at Jacksonville Jaguars ($4,000) — As if the TE position wasn’t bad enough, now we have Travis Kelce and Darren Waller playing on SNF, leaving us without an option at $5,000 or more. That’s fine, we don’t want to spend here anyway. Mark Andrews ($4,900) and Hunter Henry ($4,600) are probably the two best overall plays, but you want to spend at positions with players that are actually worth it. Ebron has at least been solid recently and has a favorable matchup against the Jags, who rank 25th in DKFP allowed to TE.

Cheap

Logan Thomas, Washington Football Team vs. Cincinnati Bengals ($3,300) — We want to spend down here, but the issue is the lack of plays. Thomas has been playing a sizable role for Washington recently, with 10-plus DKFP in three of his last four. The Bengals are the second-worst team defending TE this season.

Other Options: Dallas Goedert ($3,800)


DST

Expensive

Miami Dolphins DST ($3,400) at Denver Broncos Miami’s defense has been rock solid over the last five weeks and now faces a lackluster Denver offense that should struggle no matter who’s in there at QB.

Cheap

Atlanta Falcons DST ($2,300) at New Orleans Saints — Not loving much in terms of paying down this week, so why not fade Jameis Winston? Winston will be a popular QB to roster, so maybe we can get some leverage by going against him. We know that mistakes will be made.

Set your DraftKings fantasy football Millionaire lineups here: NFL $3.5M Fantasy Football Millionaire[$1M to 1st]


Put your knowledge to the test. Sign up for DraftKings and experience the game inside the game.


For sports betting, head over to DraftKings Sportsbook or download the DK Sportsbook app.


I am a promoter at DraftKings and am also an avid fan and user (my username is jedlow) and may sometimes play on my personal account in the games that I offer advice on. Although I have expressed my personal view on the games and strategies above, they do not necessarily reflect the view(s) of DraftKings and I may also deploy different players and strategies than what I recommend above. I am not an employee of DraftKings and do not have access to any non-public information.

If you or someone you know has a gambling problem, crisis counseling and referral services can be accessed by calling 1-800-GAMBLER (1-800-426-2537) (IL). Gambling problem? Call 1-800-GAMBLER (NJ/WV/PA), 1-800-9-WITH-IT (IN), 1-800-522-4700 (NH/CO), 1-800-BETS OFF (IA) or TN REDLINE: 800-889-9789. 21+ (18+ NH). NJ/PA/WV/NH/IN/NH/IA/CO/IL/TN only. Eligibility restrictions apply. See draftkings.com/sportsbook for full terms and conditions.