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Fantasy Football Picks: Top DraftKings NFL DFS Targets, Values for Week 11

Steve Buchanan gives his top studs and values at each position for Sunday’s main DraftKings NFL slate, which locks at 1:00 p.m. ET.

You came here to read about some of my picks for the Week 11 NFL slate on DraftKings, right? Cool. Let’s do that instead of a dumb intro that half of you don’t read anyways.

Oh, but at least follow me on Twitter. @SBuchanan24.

Set your DraftKings fantasy football Millionaire lineups here: NFL $3.5M Fantasy Football Millionaire [$1M to 1st]


Quarterback

Stud

Justin Herbert, Los Angeles Chargers vs. New York Jets, $6,800 — This is simply such a great spot for Herbert going against the Jets’ secondary...secondary? Herbert will look to continue his stellar pace since he became the starter and faces an injury-ravaged Jets team that is allowing an average of 23.4 DKFP and 287 passing yards to the QB position with 16 total touchdowns thrown. The Jets have also allowed the fourth-highest yards per attempt at 8.1. Herbert has loved going down the field, especially to Mike Williams ($5,100), and already has 40 deep attempts of at least 20+ yards, which is just outside the top 10 in the league. Facing a team that is allowing over 8.1 YPA, this matchup aligns perfectly for Herbert’s style.

Other Option – Lamar Jackson ($7,300)

Value

Tua Tagovailoa, Miami Dolphins at Denver Broncos $5,800 — Good luck finding value at the quarterback position this week.

“BuT sTeVe TaYsoM hIlL iS gEtTiNg ThE sTaRt.”

Right. He is. Let me know how that goes when Jameis Winston ($5,900) enters this game in the third quarter with the Saints down by 14+ points.

Anyways, Tagovailoa still feels underpriced as he makes his third start for the Dolphins. He’s averaged 14.2 DKFP in those games with five touchdowns thrown, no interceptions and has ran 15 times for 34 yards. He faces a Broncos team that is still dealing with injuries in their secondary and just recently gave up three passing touchdowns to the Falcons in a game not affected by weather. Stacking him with DeVante Parker ($5,700) is not only extremely cheap but gives you a receiver with an average target share of 21.7% since Tagovailoa took over.

Other Option – Cam Newton ($6,200)


Running Back

Stud

Mike Davis, Carolina Panthers vs. Detroit Lions $6,800 – Remember how angry I was last week that everyone wanted to play Davis? Well, the good news is 50.2% of the people who entered the Millionaire Maker read my article because they left his sorry behind off their roster. Where it gets awkward is here in Week 11, because I’m ALL about using him this week.

The thing is, the difference in the matchups are massive. Literally massive. The Lions are one of the worst run defenses in the league and allow an average of 179 scrimmage yards to opposing backs per game. Regardless of the matchup, the Panthers have fed Davis the ball when he’s the RB1. In fact, in seven games without Christian McCaffrey, Davis is averaging 39.1% of the team’s touches. No one even sniffs that number. In a matchup where the Lions are extremely banged up on offense, this could be a huge, HUGE game for Davis. Even with the $2,800 bump in salary, this IS the week to play Davis.

Other Options – Dalvin Cook ($9,000)

Value

Nyheim Hines, Indianapolis Colts vs. Green Bay Packers, $5,200 – A lot of attention will be on Adrian Peterson ($4,000) going against the Panthers and I don’t hate that play at all. However, I do like Hines a lot against the Packers as well. Opposing running backs have been catching anything and everything against this team and are averaging 53.4 receiving yards and an 83.1% catch rate. The Colts’ backfield continues to be tough to figure out but Hines outsnapped both Jonathan Taylor ($5,800) and Jordan Wilkins ($4,000) as he played on 55.7% of those snaps. Hines continues to be the passing down back and owns 13.4% of the overall target share on the team.

Other Options – Damien Harris ($5,700)


Wide Receiver

Stud

Keenan Allen, Los Angeles Chargers vs. New York Jets, $7,400 – Allen completely dominates the overall target share at 29%, with Hunter Henry ($4,600) second on the team at 18.4%. Allen also tops the Chargers’ red zone targets at 21.4%, over Mike Williams ($5,100) at 16.7%. As if that wasn’t good enough, we should see Allen draw coverage against Jets corner Corey Ballentine, who is expected to get the start with the team ravaged by injury at the position. In his short time on the field, Ballentine has been targeted against nine times and has allowed seven receptions for an average of 14 YPR and a touchdown scored against. This is simply not fair for the Jets this week.

Other Options – Julio Jones ($7,500), Adam Thielen ($6,300)

Value

Jakobi Meyers, New England Patriots at Houston Texans, $4,900 – If we get another big game from Meyers here in Week 11, this is likely the cheapest we’ll see him for quite a bit of time. The return of N’Keal Harry ($3,600) wasn’t even acknowledged by Newton last week, as despite playing on 60% of the snaps, Harry didn’t draw a target. Instead, Meyers saw his third straight game of 41%+ of the targets with seven. He’ll likely draw shadow coverage from CB Bradley Roby, who has been targeted against 30 times, allowing 20 catches for an average of 9.5 YPR. While the matchup isn’t a slam dunk, the salary and volume Meyers gets should pay off in the end.

Other Options – KJ Hamler ($3,600), Jalen Reagor ($4,300)


Tight End

Stud

T.J. Hockenson, Detroit Lions at Carolina Panthers, $4,200 – The nice part about the tight end position is that it’s nearly impossible to “pay up” this week, as Mark Andrews ($4,900) is the most expensive option. Hockenson is dealing with a toe injury but if the Lions are going to be as banged up on offense as we expect, the targets should be coming early and often to him. Hockenson led the team with a 31.3% target share last week and is averaging an 18.5% share since the Week 5 bye. The Panthers haven’t exactly been strong against this position either, allowing an average of 14.1 DKFP and 54.8 yards with five total touchdowns scored.

Other Options – Hayden Hurst ($4,400)

Value

Logan Thomas, Washington Football Team vs. Cincinnati Bengals,, $3,300 – Finding these bottom of the barrel tight end options has become a hobby of mine and this week I’ve landed on Thomas. He saw five targets last week with Alex Smith ($5,300) under center and draws an extremely favorable matchup against the Bengals in Week 11. The Football Team likes using Thomas in the red zone and that’s the biggest appeal for me this week. He has a 25.8% target share in the scenario, which is tied for first with Terry McLaurin ($6,900). Then you mix in a Bengals defense that’s allowed six touchdowns and 64.7 receiving yards per game to the position, you have yourself quite the matchup.


Defense/Special Teams

Stud

Miami Dolphins at Denver Broncos, $3,400 – So we have Drew Lock ($5,400) potentially missing this game as he deals with a rib injury. Or, even better, we could get Brett Rypien ($5,100) under center. Regardless of who it is, this is a great spot to use an inexpensive Dolphins DST. Lock has been under pressure on 36% of his drop backs and has a putrid 46.7% adjusted completion percentage in that scenario. This doesn’t feel like much to pay for a Dolphins defensive line that has 22 sacks and eight interceptions on the season against either a banged up starter or their backup.

Other Option – Los Angeles Chargers ($4,000)

Value

Washington Football Team vs. Cincinnati Bengals, $2,900 – This is my favorite overall DST play on the slate. Not only does Washington have one of the most underrated secondaries in the league, they face the quarterback that has the second most dropbacks in the league at 418 in Joe Burrow ($5,500). It’s no secret Burrow has been under a ton of pressure this season, dealing with it on 34% of his dropbacks with a 53.7% adjusted completion percentage. With 28 sacks under their belt, this is too cheap to ignore.

Other Option – Houston Texans ($2,600)

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