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College Basketball Picks, Odds and Analysis: 2020-21 Big 12 Preview on DraftKings Sportsbook

Julian Edlow breaks down the favorites, overvalued and undervalued teams in the Big 12 on DraftKings Sportsbook.

NCAA Basketball: Kansas at Baylor Kevin Jairaj-USA TODAY Sports

What’s getting lost in the mix during the heart of football season and Thanksgiving week? The start of college hoops! I’ll have you covered with best bets articles throughout the season, but it’s also good to have something from the preseason as reference for early in the season to get a grasp on different teams and conferences. So I’m breaking down each of the Power 6 Conferences with some useful betting info from DraftKings Sportsbook.


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Big 12

Big 12

School Conference Winner Final Four National Champion
School Conference Winner Final Four National Champion
Baylor +165 +125 +800
Kansas +175 +200 +1100
West Virginia +525 +400 +2000
Texas Tech +600 +650 +3000
Texas +690 +1150 +5000
Oklahoma +2000 +2400 +10000
Iowa State +8000 +7400 +30000
TCU +10000 N/A +30000
Kansas State +30000 +12400 +50000

The Favorite

Baylor

The conference is absolutely loaded, with four teams in the top-eight in KenPom — Kansas (5), Texas Tech (6) and West Virginia (8). But it’s Baylor that holds the top spot, and while it won’t be easy, I’m buying into the hype. The Bears did lose some contributors that’ll set them back a bit, but not nearly as much as some of the other top teams in the conference. For the most part, Baylor returns an extremely veteran lineup that dominated college hoops last season.

While I do lean toward Baylor here, it’s really not worth betting them as the favorite. There are so many unknowns this season, and Baylor has no room for error. If you told me Kansas won the Big 12, that would make perfect sense. Even Texas Tech or West Virginia could sneak in there. While the Jayhawks always bring in some freshman talent, it lost some key seniors. The notable loss of Udoka Azubuike at center is going to be most costly, and that’s a huge reason I’ll take the Bears as the best team here.


Overvalued

Kansas State

Kansas State had been on a nice run for a few years, but don’t let that cloud your judgement about this team this year. K-State has just one senior on the roster and will be relying on a lot of unproven pieces. The recruiting class coming in has some promise, but this is a pretty difficult year to rely on that talent to be ready out of the gates. Maybe this team improves late in the season and tops Iowa State in the standings, but K-State is circled for me as a team to fade early and often.


Undervalued

Oklahoma State

It’s tough to find an “undervalued” team in a conference that’s so loaded like this. But you may find Oklahoma State to be a team some look past, partly because we don’t see their odds in the futures market due to a 2021 postseason ban. However, the Cowboys rank 35th in KenPom and have a chance to be the fifth-best team in the conference, behind the four heavyweights.

Because this is a “lost” season for Oklahoma State, we could see some value on them, but this is going to be a fun team to watch. It’s a young squad with a lot of developing talent, but Cade Cunningham has a chance to be one of the best in the nation. Cunningham was the No. 1 overall recruit in this class, a special 6’8” guard whose versatility will help the Cowboys compete in big games. The question is if he’ll be ready to dominate right away, or take some time to adjust. I want to watch this team play once or twice before betting a game, but there could be early value.

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I am a promoter at DraftKings and am also an avid fan and user (my username is jedlow) and may sometimes play on my personal account in the games that I offer advice on. Although I have expressed my personal view on the games and strategies above, they do not necessarily reflect the view(s) of DraftKings and I may also deploy different players and strategies than what I recommend above. I am not an employee of DraftKings and do not have access to any non-public information.


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