The Raiders came through for me, but Week 11 wasn’t an overall success, with my picks finishing 1-2. For the season, my record now stands at 14-18-1. I’ll try to get back on track in Week 12 with three more underdogs who could prove to be profitable.
All odds were obtained from the DraftKings Sportsbook.
Los Angeles Chargers at Buffalo Bills: Chargers +5
It looked like the Bills were on their way to their fourth-straight win in Week 10, but a hail mary touchdown reception by DeAndre Hopkins resulted in just their third loss of the season. They have had the benefit of playing the Jets twice this season, but their schedule has not been favorable by any means since they have also had to face the Rams, Raiders, Titans, Chiefs and Seahawks. Coming out of their bye week, they will continue to try and hold off the surging Dolphins when they face the 3-7 Chargers.
Despite having such a poor record, the Chargers have been anything but a pushover. They haven’t lost a game by more than eight points and five of their losses have come by five points or fewer. That included tough matchups against the Chiefs, Saints and Raiders. Beating the Bills on the road might be too much to ask from the Chargers, but with Justin Herbert leading their surging offense, they could keep this contest close.
Tennessee Titans at Indianapolis Colts: Titans +3
This should be an exciting contest between two teams that are tied atop the AFC South. When these teams played in Tennessee, the Colts dominated the second half on their way to a 34-17 win. The Titans actually held a 17-13 lead entering the half, but their offense stalled after that. They did well to bounce back in Week 11, defeating the Ravens in overtime in what was arguably their biggest win of the season.
The Titans aren’t the only team coming into this contest riding the high of an overtime victory. The Colts blew a fourth quarter lead Sunday against the Packers, but rebounded to earn the win in overtime on a field goal. With the victory, they have now won four of their last five games. With all of that being said, the Titans usually play up to their opponents. They have covered the spread in five of their last six road games against teams with a winning record. I wouldn’t be surprised to see them win this game outright, so I’ll take a chance on the points.
Carolina Panthers at Minnesota Vikings: Panthers +3.5
The Panthers needed a break in the schedule last week in the worst way. Prior to Week 11, four of their last five opponents were the Bears, Saints, Chiefs and Buccaneers. It’s no surprise that they lost each of those contests. They did finally get back in the win column Sunday against the Lions, and did so in convincing fashion by a score of 20-0. Christian McCaffrey (shoulder) was out again, but Mike Davis filled in admirably with 79 total yards and a touchdown.
As good as the Panthers looked last week, the same can’t be said for the Vikings, who snapped their three-game winning steak by losing at home to the Cowboys. The Vikings have struggled at home for much of the season, going 1-4 with their only win coming against the Lions. Given the Vikings’ struggles at home and taking into consideration that the Panthers have covered the spread in each of their last four road games, rolling with the points could be the way to go.
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