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NFL Predictions: Football Player Prop Bets to consider on DraftKings Sportsbook for Week 12

Kenny Ducey gives you his best player prop bets on DraftKings Sportsbook for NFL Week 12.

It’s Week 12 in the NFL, and it’s once again time to survey each game for value player props. I like the Colts to struggle through the air, but one player, in particular, to get fed plenty of targets. I am also selling high on a pair of Week 11 heroes. Here are my favorite prop bets on DraftKings Sportsbook.

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Philip Rivers under 269.5 passing yards (-112)

Yes, Rivers has hit this total four times this season including in each of the Colts’ past two games, but Tennessee’s passing defense deserves a bit more credit. The Titans have three of the top 28 corners in football in Breon Borders, Desmond King II and Malcolm Butler, according to PFF, and a solid cover safety in Amani Hooker. The defense has allowed a modest 264 yards per game over the past three and against a quarterback who hasn’t exactly been lighting it up in the yards department this season, I think this should go under pretty comfortably. I expect a sloppy, low-scoring game.


Nyheim Hines over 23.5 receiving yards (-112)

Over his past five games, the speedy passing-down back has averaged 35.4 receiving yards, well over this total, and has only failed to hit it on one occasion. What’s more, he’s averaging roughly five targets per game. That alone would persuade me to take this total, and now with the news that Jonathan Taylor has been placed on the reserve/COVID-19 list, I’m even more inclined to take it. Tennessee has some pretty great corners, making it difficult to attack passing totals against them, but they’ve actually been atrocious against running backs. They’ve allowed a 70-yard receiving game to a running back in back-to-back weeks, and 12 running backs have gained 24 or more receiving yards against them. The stars are aligned for this over.


Cole Beasley under 61.5 receiving yards (-112)

This total is pretty astronomical, and as much as I love Beasley I’m wondering what the Bills wide out did to deserve this kind of love from the bookmakers. He projects to match up with Chris Harris, who’s an above-average corner, and against a Chargers defense that’s allowed just 175 yards per game over the past three, the third-best mark in football. Beasley has three 100-yard games this year and two games with double-digit targets. Aside from that, he just isn’t seeing the volume required to hit this mark. Before his outburst last week, he had five combined targets over his past two games. I suspect that he will crash back to Earth here in a tough matchup.


Derek Carr under 272.5 passing yards (-112)

The Falcons have exhibited a notoriously bad secondary this season, ranking 31st in football in yards per game, but have allowed just 223 on average over the past three games. I think this is a buy-low spot on the Falcons’ secondary and a sell-high spot on Carr, who played out of his mind against the Chiefs and enters a prime letdown spot in a game where the undisciplined Raiders will likely play down to their opponents. I’m not saying Carr will have an awful game, but I’m not on board with backing him to light the world on fire in Week 12.


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I am a promoter at DraftKings and am also an avid fan and user (my username is jetsfan196) and I may sometimes play on my personal account in the games that I offer advice on. Although I have expressed my personal view on the games and strategies above, they do not necessarily reflect the view(s) of DraftKings and I may also deploy different players and strategies than what I recommend above. I am not an employee of DraftKings and do not have access to any non-public information.