SNF promises to stay hot with another great conference matchup this week as the Chicago Bears visit Lambeau to take on the Green Bay Packers. With some sides, totals and props being offered, here’s what jumps out to me on DraftKings Sportsbook for this game.
I’m pretty sure we’re all addicted to betting on the Bears in primetime, or at least I am. It’s simply irresistible to take the nine points here, given how good this defense is and considering the fact someone not named Nick Foles is starting under center due to the veteran’s neck injury. If you don’t remember, the Bears were 3-0 with Mitch Trubisky before he was benched for Foles, and they were 8-7 last season with the North Carolina product under center. Trubisky’s PFF grade from his three games this season ranks 23rd, tied with Matt Stafford, which isn’t bad. It’s also encouraging because this passing offense ranks near the bottom of the NFL; it can’t get any worse! I think the sixth-best scoring defense can keep a struggling Packers offense in check, and Trubisky can do just enough to make this competitive.
The aforementioned Bears defense is allowing under 21 points per game this season, and have held opponents under 20 points five different times. What’s even better for the under is that this team’s offense has been held to 20 or fewer point six times, and three of those times it scored 13 or fewer. That’s why seven of 10 Bears games this season have gone under. This trend should continue even with the Packers coming off a 31-point outing against one of the league’s elite defenses in Indy. The Bears just shouldn’t score enough points to get here, and the defense probably holds Aaron Rodgers and company to three touchdowns.
Trubisky had three touchdowns in Week 1 and two in Week 2 before his bad, abbreviated Week 3 outing against Atlanta. The Packers’ passing defense is susceptible to allowing good games — they’ve given up over 237 yards per game over the past three games and just allowed a 280-yard game last week to Philip Rivers of all people. More importantly, Rivers became the sixth quarterback to throw a multi-TD game. At this price, you just can’t pass up Trubisky to have a good game. I truly believe he’s better than Foles and can pull this thing off.
The Packers’ defense has quietly put the clamps on opposing running backs this season as only three backs have gone for 100 yards against them and they rank 13th in rushing yards allowed per game at just over 110. Montgomery has gone under this total under total five times in nine games this year, he’s coming off an injury and he is averaging a measly 3.6 yards per carry this season. He just isn’t a good running back and I don’t expect him to magically get better tonight against a decent rushing defense. Trubisky should also take some carries away from him and Cordarrelle Patterson will be right behind him.
Put your knowledge to the test. Sign up for DraftKings and experience the game inside the game.
I am a promoter at DraftKings and am also an avid fan and user (my username is jetsfan196) and may sometimes play on my personal account in the games that I offer advice on. Although I have expressed my personal view on the games and strategies above, they do not necessarily reflect the view(s) of DraftKings and I may also deploy different players and strategies than what I recommend above. I am not an employee of DraftKings and do not have access to any non-public information.
If you or someone you know has a gambling problem, crisis counseling and referral services can be accessed by calling 1-800-GAMBLER (1-800-426-2537) (IL). Gambling problem? Call 1-800-GAMBLER (NJ/WV/PA), 1-800-9-WITH-IT (IN), 1-800-522-4700 (NH/CO), 1-800-BETS OFF (IA) or TN REDLINE: 800-889-9789. 21+ (18+ NH). NJ/PA/WV/NH/IN/NH/IA/CO/IL/TN only. Eligibility restrictions apply. See draftkings.com/sportsbook for full terms and conditions.