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DraftKings Fantasy Football Sleepers: NFL DFS Pivot Picks for Week 9

Garion Thorne goes position-by-position to find overlooked players on Week 9’s main DraftKings slate, which locks at 1:00 p.m. ET on Nov. 8.

It’s hard to know what a sleeper even is anymore when it comes to Fantasy Football, but, for the purposes of this article, we’ll use the term to mean an asset that’s likely to be undervalued heading into a given week. A player that’s going to be overlooked when it comes to ownership, yet one that has a reasonable path to make people regret that decision. Someone who might set your lineup apart from the pack in a GPP, if you will.

With that in mind, let’s go position-by-position for an early look at Week 9’s slate on DraftKings.

Set your DraftKings fantasy football lineups here: NFL $4M Fantasy Football Millionaire [$1M to 1st + ToC Entry]



QUARTERBACK

Tua Tagovailoa, Miami Dolphins at Arizona Cardinals, $5,500

This is probably a week where you’ll want to pay up at QB — possibly even getting some leverage on Kyler Murray ($7,800) if people are scared of this Dolphins defense. However, if you’re looking to save at the position, I don’t think anyone is going to be on Tagovailoa this weekend after an underwhelming first career start versus the Rams. Here’s why I think that’s a mistake. First and foremost, this is going to be a game with a much different script, one with enough volume to showcase Tagovailoa’s ceiling. I’ll go out on a limb and say Miami won’t be leading by 21 points before halftime like it was last Sunday. I’ll also predict that the Dolphins will have to run more than 49 total offensive plays and that Tagovailoa will throw the ball more than the eight times in did in the second and third quarters combined. The rookie simply wasn’t asked to do anything in Week 8 and his numbers reflected that. Look for Chan Gailey to loosen the reigns in a contest where Miami will have to score offensive touchdowns to keep pace and in a spot that is a considerably easier matchup. Not only has the Cardinals D/ST ($2,900) struggled to generate pressure all season, but they’ve allowed the fifth-most DKFP per game to opposing quarterbacks; despite squaring off with the likes of Andy Dalton, Joe Flacco and Dwayne Haskins.


RUNNING BACK

Clyde Edwards-Helaire, Kansas City Chiefs vs. Carolina Panthers, $6,100

It’s become clear after two weeks that Le’Veon Bell ($5,100) is going to play a role in Kansas City’s offense and that his presence is bad news for Edwards-Helaire. Still, I’d be hesitant to start completely ignoring the rookie after a pair of poor performances. Edwards-Helaire has managed to log at least a 50.0% snap share in Week 7 and Week 8, he just happened to be going up against a couple of solid run defenses in Denver and New York. That won’t be the case this weekend with Carolina. The Panthers have been consistently gashed on the ground, surrendering 4.7 yards per carry and allowing opposing RBs to generate the second-most DKFP on a weekly basis. They’ve also conceded a league-high 7.3 receptions per game to opponent backfields, which is where Edwards-Helaire can really make his mark, as he leads all AFC running backs with 33 targets since the beginning of Week 2. At the end of the day, this is a great matchup for a key offensive asset on a team that ranks second in the NFL in scoring average (31.6). If owners are going to overlook Edwards-Helaire’s massive ceiling due to his recently lowered floor, I’m fine to reap the rewards of the risk.


WIDE RECEIVER

DJ Chark, Jacksonville Jaguars vs. Houston Texans, $5,200

I get it. Especially after watching Ben DiNucci on Sunday Night Football this past weekend, how much faith can we really have in sixth-round pick Jake Luton ($4,900) in his first career taste of the NFL? Well, as it directly pertains to Chark’s value, Luton can’t be much worse for the wideout than Gardner Minshew (thumb) had been in recent games. Despite the LSU product having racked up 25 targets in his past three contests — a span where Chark was fifth in the league in air yards with 332 — the WR has averaging a mere 6.6 DKFP. He’s already at rock bottom, there’s nowhere to go but up from here. Regardless of Jacksonville’s QB situation, Chark should once again see a huge amount of volume in Week 9, with the Jaguars massive home underdogs against the Texans. It should also be noted that Houston’s surrendered a whopping 305.3 passing yards per contest dating back to Week 5, a stretch where it’s also allowed 8.8 yards per target to opposing wide receivers. It’s rare to say this about a situation that features a low-end rookie quarterback prospect, but the change behind center might actually be a breath of fresh air for Chark.


TIGHT END

Mark Andrews, Baltimore Ravens at Indianapolis Colts, $4,800

If I had to sum up my feelings on the tight end position in a single sentence, it would be this: Volume matters much more than matchup. While some teams do have obvious holes in their defense when it comes to covering TEs, I’ll always put more stock into how offenses are utilizing their players. That’s why I’m not worried when I see an asset like Andrews going up against a Colts unit that’s conceded the fewest DKFP to tight ends so far in 2020. Though Andrews hasn’t been the most consistent DFS commodity in the world this season, he’s still averaging 3.50 PPR fantasy points per touch — the second-highest output of any TE with at least 30 targets. Andrews also leads all Baltimore receivers in red zone target share at 31.8%. It’s a level of efficiency from Andrews that is crucial in a Ravens’ system that leans so heavily on the rushing attack. Considering the 24-year-old is sandwiched by T.J. Hockenson ($5,100) and Noah Fant ($4,600) in great spots of their own, I wouldn’t be shocked if Andrews’ ownership is incredibly low this Sunday. Take advantage.

Set your DraftKings fantasy football lineups here: NFL $4M Fantasy Football Millionaire [$1M to 1st + ToC Entry]


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