The rankings below are based on a mixture of expected output and DraftKings’ NASCAR salaries for that day. The ordering is not based on the highest projected fantasy totals, but rather by the value of each driver.
The DraftKings Lucas Oil 150 slate locks at 8:00 p.m. ET on Friday. Set your DraftKings fantasy NASCAR lineups here: NTS $100K Trucks Season Finale [$20K to 1st] (Trucks)
1. Sheldon Creed ($11,000) - In four of the last five races, Creed has the highest driver rating. The only race where Creed did not have the highest driver rating was a plate race at Talladega, but he had the second-highest driver rating in that race.
2. Brett Moffitt ($10,700) - Among the championship contenders, only Moffitt has won at Phoenix (2018). This is Moffitt’s third truck season and his third appearance in the championship race. The rest of the championship contenders are experiencing their first championship race.
3. Grant Enfinger ($9,200) - He’s clearly an underdog, but he was an underdog at Martinsville. Enfinger has a top-five finish in both of the last two Phoenix races, and he’s won at the short flat tracks in Richmond and Martinsville. This race is shaping up to be an instant classic.
4. Zane Smith ($9,800) - Experience doesn’t seem to matter. In Zane Smith’s first race at Martinsville without any practice, he was the second-highest rated driver and finished third. At Phoenix, he does have experience. Smith finished fifth in the Xfinity race last fall.
5. Chandler Smith ($10,400) - He had the fastest truck in practice last year, and the best average running position in the race. That Phoenix race was with crew chief Rudy Fugle. This year, he has a backup crew chief.
6. Johnny Sauter ($7,800) - Last year was pretty bad for Sauter, but this year has been worse. In 2018, his average finish was sixth. He was released by GMS and signed with ThorSport last season and averaged a 12th place finish. This season, his average finish is 17th. Sauter has one top-10 finish in the last 10 races.
7. Todd Gilliland ($8,200) - There were moments this season where Gilliland looked like the promising prospect that won two K&N championships. Unfortunately, the season has closed with Todd Gilliland looking like Todd Gilliland. Over the last six races, he’s averaging a 17th place finish.
8. Matt Crafton ($9,000) - Other than a surprise win on the back-end of the Kansas double header, this has been a lackluster season for Crafton. He has topped 15 hog points just once this season.
9. Austin Hill ($9,600) - Kevin Harvick did not make the championship race, and neither did Hill. The drivers know the deal, but for Hill, it’s hard to accept a playoff elimination based on the failure of a NASCAR-mandated engine. It happens to a contender every year, and it’s unacceptable.
10. Ryan Truex ($6,400) - The last couple weeks have not worked out, but this week Truex is cheap and he’s starting deep in the field. In 2017, Truex finished 19th at Phoenix; better than that, he finished second at Phoenix in the 2019 spring Xfinity race.
11. Christian Eckes ($8,800) - If Eckes can’t win with Rudy Fugle as his crew chief, then he’ll never win. This is his last race with Fugle and possibly his last shot at a win. It’s been a rough couple months for Eckes, but a fourth-place finish at Martinsville has him headed in the right direction.
12. Ben Rhodes ($8,000) - Last year, Rhodes led the most laps and had the second-best average running position at Phoenix. There’s no reason that he cannot have a similar performance this year. Rhodes is often an afterthought, so he makes for an interesting GPP play.
13. Carson Hocevar ($6,900) - Practice would help, but it’s not happening. Hocevar has earned three top-15 finishes this season without practice. He’s proven himself in the late models, but the issue is not his skill. The issue is that the Niece trucks have not been very strong this season.
14. Sam Mayer ($10,000) - Shortly after a restart on lap 100 of 150 at Phoenix last season, Mayer was in 13th place. Moments later, Mayer got wrecked by John Hunter Nemechek in the #8 truck. Last year, the #8 truck was the Grim Reaper.
15. Tanner Gray ($7,100) - There is a reason Gray is starting 23rd. He’s wrecked in three of the last four races. Despite the terrible end to the season, he’s averaging a 16th-place finish for DGR Crosley. A 6x return from Gray is not a stretch.
16. Raphael Lessard ($6,800) - His Talladega win was nice, but it’s Talladega. DFS players should not overreact. Other than a fourth-place finish at Texas, Lessard is averaging a 24th-place finish over the last two months.
17. Tyler Ankrum ($8,400) - This hasn’t been a terrible season for Ankrum. In terms of average finishing position and top-10 finishes, Ankrum is around the 10th-best driver this season. The problem is that in DFS, Ankrum has no ceiling and a bottomless floor.
18. Stewart Friesen ($8,600) - Last year, Friesen won this race and qualified for the championship race at Homestead. This year, he changed manufacturers during the worst possible time. Friesen has never been able to dial his truck in. Phoenix has been his best track, but his trucks are a mess.
19. Tate Fogleman ($5,800) - This play never seems to work, but Foglemen is starting in a position where he can easily move forward. During the summer, Fogleman was consistently a top-20 driver. If Fogleman can finish 20th, then he’ll likely be in the optimal lineup.
20. Trevor Bayne ($6,200) - It’s very strange when Trevor Bayne’s salary is cheaper than what it was in the Cup Series. If he can finish where he starts, then he can hit 6x, but that’s a stretch. This Niece truck hasn’t been that good and neither has he.
Set your DraftKings fantasy NASCAR lineups here: NTS $100K Trucks Season Finale [$20K to 1st] (Trucks)
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