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DraftKings Fantasy Football DFS Trends and Early NFL Predictions for Week 10

Steve Buchanan analyzes three player performances from Week 9 and gives his take on if it’ll continue or not in Week 10.

There is nothing better than some overreactions after the dust settles on a football Sunday. All of us armchair quarterbacks go and make our critiques and tell all our friends and family about what we would have done differently.

The great thing for me is, they asked me to do this and YOU’RE sitting here reading it! How about that?

For this piece, each week we’ll take a look at some players that either potentially overachieved or underachieved and what the outlook for them is moving forward — specifically for next week’s game. Are they set up for more success or could someone have simply had a bad week? My job here is to try and figure that out and relay that information to you. Let’s take a look!

Oh, feel free to tell me how wrong I am by getting at me on Twitter @SBuchanan24.

Set your DraftKings fantasy football lineups here: NFL Showdown $3.5M Millionaire [$1M to 1st]

Richie James, San Francisco 49ers
Week 9 Fantasy Total: 36.4 DKFP

Due to an injury/COVID-19 depleted Niners offense, James, who hadn’t made a catch all season long, went completely ham against the Packers. On 13 targets, James made nine catches for 184 yards and a touchdown for a massive 36.4 DKFP. James played on 89.5% of the Niners’ offensive snaps, tied with household name River Cracraft. James had Nick Mullens’ full attention with 38.2% of the overall target share while no one else had more than 14.7%. Quite the game for someone who hardly sniffed the field coming into this game.

Of course, before we get all excited about this $4K receiver, it’s worth noting the reason why James was able to go crazy. Kendrick Bourne, who was placed again on the COVID-19 list Monday afternoon, was inactive as well as Deebo Samuel ($5,400), Brandon Aiyuk ($5,700) and Trent Williams. Aiyuk has already been activated while we await word on Samuel. While James may have carved himself somewhat of a role moving forward, it’ll be nothing remotely prominent like in Week 9. So yes, while it was great to strike paydirt in Week 9, don’t be expecting this once again come Week 10 against the Saints.

Curtis Samuel, Carolina Panthers
Week 9 Fantasy Total: 29.8 DKFP

Samuel ($4,900) had himself one heck of a game on Sunday, making nine receptions for 105 yards and a touchdown and also carrying the ball three times for 13 yards against the Chiefs, no less. It’s been evident that the Panthers are using him in creative ways and if that’s the role he’s been given, we’ll certainly take that from a fantasy perspective. It’s also worth noting that since the Panthers released Seth Roberts after Week 7, Samuel has played on 76% and 72.3% of the Panthers’ offensive snaps. For reference, Samuel dipped to as low as 46.8% back in Week 4.

Samuel and the Panthers are in for a tough matchup against a Buccaneers defense that has easily been top three in the league. While they didn’t look like it against the Saints last week, they have been a top defense all throughout the season prior to that. I love that Samuel has been getting some rushes as well and that may be something we see more of in Week 10, as Christian McCaffrey ($9,000) is questionable with a shoulder injury. In all, since the release of Roberts, Samuel is averaging 19% of the team’s total touches. At his salary and the different ways the Panthers are using him, I think Samuel is totally in play once again in Week 10, even more so if McCaffrey is ruled out.

Darius Slayton, New York Giants
Week 9 Fantasy Total: 1.8 DKFP

Woof. What a brutal game from Slayton, who only managed one catch on his only target for six yards. Even with Golden Tate benched, Slayton simply wasn’t part of this game plan for the Giants in their win over the Washington Football Team. Slayton’s target share can be a bit inconsistent but overall, he’s averaging a 19.6% share overall, even with the one target in Week 9. The good news is he’s in a really good “get right” spot here in Week 10.

Facing the Eagles, Slayton will enjoy a matchup against a secondary that’s allowed an average of 37.4 DKFP and 143.5 receiving yards with seven touchdowns scored to opposing receivers. For Slayton specifically, he should draw coverage against CB Avonte Maddox, who has been targeted against 27 times allowing 16 catches for 204 yards and 12.8 YPR. As one of the Giants’ deep threats, this could be a really good spot to take Slayton at low ownership after the really poor performance from Week 9.

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I am a promoter at DraftKings and am also an avid fan and user (my username is steveazors) and may sometimes play on my personal account in the games that I offer advice on. Although I have expressed my personal view on the games and strategies above, they do not necessarily reflect the view(s) of DraftKings and I may also deploy different players and strategies than what I recommend above. I am not an employee of DraftKings and do not have access to any non-public information.

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