This is an article about who you should target for your DraftKings lineup for the Week 15 NFL slate on Sunday as if the title didn’t state that already. So read it and then follow me on Twitter @SBuchanan24.
Ryan Tannehill, Tennessee Titans vs. Detroit Lions, $6,700 — I’m really digging using Tannehill this week in a game I think has a very good potential to be a shootout. The ownership is going to be heavily on Derrick Henry ($9,500), and rightfully so, but I think this will lead to a lot of people overlooking Tannehill. Just recently against a poor Browns secondary, Tannehill threw for 389 yards and three touchdowns, good for 31.5 DKFP. The Titans themselves aren’t exactly a great secondary, either, so it opens up a lot for Matt Stafford ($5,800) to respond if he’s able to play through a ribs injury. With Tannehill working from a clean pocket, something he should see a lot versus the Lions, he has an 80% adjusted completion percentage, 19 of his 28 touchdowns thrown and 9.1 yards per pass attempt.
Other Option – Lamar Jackson ($7,500)
Jalen Hurts, Philadelphia Eagles at Arizona Cardinals $5,900 — Hurts is going to be a popular pay down option for Week 15, and rightfully so. While he wasn’t overly efficient through the air, completing 17 of 30 for 167 yards and a touchdown, he did run for 106 yards on 18 attempts, giving him 23.28 DKFP. This is a Cardinals club you’ll be able to run against, as we’ve seen six games with opposing quarterbacks running for over 30 yards. With the immense rushing upside Hurts will bring, he feels like a steal at $5,900, especially with the Eagles as six-point underdogs, according to the DraftKings Sportsbook. This matchup is also much softer than it was against the Saints, as the Cardinals’ secondary and lack of a pass rush will work in Hurts’ favor.
Other Option – Dwayne Haskins Jr. ($5,000)
Jonathan Taylor, Indianapolis Colts vs. Houston Texans, $7,200 – The running back position is absolutely loaded on this main slate. So much so that you’ll be seeing plenty of lineups that see three running backs rostered (which means going with four wide receivers to be different in tournaments). With all the names to choose from, I’m still very much in love with using Taylor. Taylor has solidified his role as the RB1 and has responded with three games of at least 90 rushing yards, including 150 last week against the Raiders. Now he faces a Texans “run defense” that’s allowing an average of 5.3 YPC. For reference, no other team in the league is allowing more than five YPC. He’s been excellent at avoiding tackles, doing so 26 times. That puts him in the same company as Ezekiel Elliott, Ronald Jones and Kenyan Drake, all of whom have 27. Taylor is in THE spot this week and with the Colts favored by a touchdown, should see plenty of work.
Other Options – Derrick Henry ($9,500), Alvin Kamara ($7,400)
Leonard Fournette, Tampa Bay Buccaneers at Atlanta Falcons,$4,500 – I really hesitated on writing up Fournette because I’m not convinced he’s going to get the lead role in the Bucs’ offense with Ronald Jones out. I mean, that’s what we’re being told but we also just had Keenan Allen telling the camera on Thursday “not to bench him” and he played 36.4% of their snaps and made one catch, so you can understand my unwillingness. Anywho, Fournette is the option to catch out of the backfield and that’s where the Falcons’ run defense gets gashed. They allow an 80% catch rate and 40 yards per game with four touchdowns scored through the air to opposing backs. We don’t have much value at this position so this is likely the best we’ll come up with, sadly.
Other Options – J.K. Dobbins ($5,900), Raheem Mostert ($5,800)
I don’t mean to be dramatic, but the early ownership runs for Week 15 is heavily weighted toward lineups paying up at running back and down at receiver. Ridley is in a fantastic matchup against the Buccaneers, whose secondary has completely fallen apart in the second half of the season. Aside from only 78 yards allowed to the Vikings last week, they gave up back-to-back weeks of 300-plus yards with 314 to the Rams and 366 to the Chiefs. Ridley should be “shadowed” by CB Carlton Davis, who has been targeted against 88 times allowing 53 receptions (60.2% catch rate) for an average of 13.7 YPR and five touchdowns scored. In four games where Jones has been sidelined, Ridley has averaged a 31.1% target share (22.4% overall). The ball is going in his direction in Week 15.
Other Options – A.J. Brown ($7,600), Cooper Kupp ($7,000)
Cam Sims, Washington Football Team vs. Seattle Seahawks, $3,300 – So this play is a bit off the wall but if we’re looking at the matchup, when don’t you want to target against the Seahawks’ secondary? Sims won’t jump out at you with his stats but judging by his snap counts, he’s the WR2 on this team. Last week he logged 93.7% of the snaps but only saw two targets. The week before, however, he drew nine targets. With the Football Team as underdogs, Sims should see some looks from Haskins against arguably the worst defense in the league through the air. He plays 46% of his snaps on the right, meaning he’ll see CB Shaq Griffin. In coverage, Griffin has been targeted against 57 times allowing 36 receptions (63.2% catch rate) for 11.8 YPR and six touchdowns scored. This is not a safe play by any means but something has to give with the matchup at hand.
Other Options – Denzel Mims ($3,500), Danny Amendola ($4,200)
Travis Kelce, Kansas City Chiefs at New Orleans Saints,$8,000 – The tight end position continues to be a wasteland and no one faults you for not wanting to pay up at the position. Except for Kelce. He’s nice. We like him. If people are paying up at this spot, Kelce is by far the guy to use and is $2,500 more than the next guy in line, which is Mark Andrews ($5,500).
The numbers Kelce is putting up, though, is absurd. Kelce is seventh in the league in targets (120), FIRST in receiving yards (1250) and tied for sixth in touchdowns (9). On top of that, amongst players with at least 70 targets, Kelce is third in the league with 509 yards after the catch, shaking out to 5.7 per reception. What else can I say about the man?
Other Options – T.J. Hockenson ($5,200)
Irv Smith Jr, Minnesota Vikings vs. Chicago Bears, $3,600 – Smith will take the reins as the TE1 for a second week in a row as Kyle Rudolph has once again been ruled out. Smith saw a slight bump in his average, going from 2.6 targets on the season to four in this game. It was nothing Earth-shattering but at the price point, you can’t complain. The cherry on top, of course, is the matchup. The Bears have not been a strong team against the position and allow an average of 15.6 DKFP, 59 receiving yards and nine touchdowns. If you’re looking to pay down, which is likely, Smith Jr is the way to do it.
Other Options – Trey Burton ($2,900)
Indianapolis Colts vs. Houston Texans, $3,600 – I’m not one to pay up for a D/ST, but the Colts are a fairly safe option this week. They hover around league average at getting pressure on the quarterback but are facing Deshaun Watson ($6,800), who has the fourth-most dropbacks feeling the heat. His 190 dropbacks under pressure account for 36% of his total, which is one of the highest in the league. When he’s under pressure, Watson’s adjusted completion percentage drops from 81.2% to 63% and 7.5 yards per attempt.
Other Option – Miami Dolphins ($3,700)
Washington Football Team vs. Seattle Seahawks, $2,600 – If you want to pay down, I think Washington is a great team to do it with. We don’t love targeting against the Seahawks, who are averaging 30.2 points per game. However, we’ve seen a lot of pressure on Russell Wilson ($7,300), who is feeling it on 38% of his dropbacks. To his credit, Wilson is still very efficient under pressure but the Football Team will certainly keep him busy and flush him out of the pocket. The 12 interceptions he’s thrown is one away from his career-high of 13 and the first time in two years he’s reached double-digits. If any team is able to match or exceed his career total, it’s this one.
Other Option – Tampa Bay Buccaneers ($3,000)
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