As the season goes on, the player prop market is becoming more attractive down the home stretch. Here are some NFL bets that jump out in Week 15’s Sunday games on DraftKings Sportsbook.
It appears the Colts are finally treating Taylor as the featured back, with Taylor averaging over 22 touches in his past three games. He’s had 20-plus carries in two of them, and rushed for 90-plus yards in all three — including 91 yards on just 13 carries two weeks ago against Houston. The Texans rank as the second-worst run defense in the NFL, surrendering 152.3 yards per game. I locked in David Montgomery to go over 67.5 yards in this matchup last week, which he hit on his first carry — an 80-yard touchdown. Houston has absolutely nothing to play for, and I expect the rookie to keep racking up yardage on the ground.
Rookie rushing props will be a trend in this article, as Akers is another RB recently unleashed by his team. After mixing into a three-man backfield, the Rams have committed to Akers over the past two games and he hasn’t let his team down. Akers played 63% of the offensive snaps in Week 13, finishing with 21 carries for 72 yards against Arizona. Last week, those numbers jumped to 79% of the snaps, posting 29 carries for 171 yards. The Jets’ rush defense somehow isn’t all that terrible on paper, but the game script sets up perfectly here. As a 17-point home favorite, Akers should get plenty of carries in this one.
Rookie rushing props. So hot right now. I love what Hurts brings to the table for the Eagles, and think a small bet on Philly moneyline makes sense this week. He completely transformed the offense, mostly because of his ability to run the ball. In a late appearance against the Packers, Hurts had five carries for 29 yards in about a quarter. In his first start, against a very tough New Orleans defense, Hurts carried a remarkable 18 times for 106 yards. While the Cardinals will obviously prepare for the run, they do rank near the bottom of the league in rushing yards allowed to QB. Hurts was set at 39.5 last week, so there was bound to be some movement here. But the number still doesn’t reflect what he’s capable of.
This is a prop I’ve had circled for a few weeks. In Taysom Hill’s first three starts, Kamara (who had 67 receptions on the season at the time) has just three total receptions. His role was unthinkably removed from the passing game. New Orleans got back to it last week, targeting Kamara 10 times, which turned into seven catches. I wish that didn’t happen so we could get an even lower number here, but 5.5 is still fine by me. Kamara went over 5.5 receptions in six of nine games with Drew Brees, averaging 7.4 per game. Now Brees is back at QB, and the cherry on top is that Michael Thomas has been ruled out, opening up even more targets. This one opened up at +120 on DKSB, then money poured in, especially when MT was ruled out. I saw it get bet to -118 before coming off the board. Whenever it’s back, this is one of the top props of the week.
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