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DraftKings Fantasy Football Sleepers: NFL DFS Pivot Picks for Week 13

Garion Thorne goes position-by-position to find overlooked players on Week 13’s main DraftKings slate, which locks at 1:00 p.m. ET on Dec. 6.

It’s hard to know what a sleeper even is anymore when it comes to Fantasy Football, but, for the purposes of this article, we’ll use the term to mean an asset that’s likely to be undervalued heading into a given week. A player that’s going to be overlooked when it comes to ownership, yet one that has a reasonable path to make people regret that decision. Someone who might set your lineup apart from the pack in a GPP, if you will.

With that in mind, let’s go position-by-position for an early look at Week 13’s slate on DraftKings.

Set your DraftKings fantasy football lineups here: NFL $3.5M Fantasy Football Millionaire [$1M to 1st]


QUARTERBACK

Jared Goff, Los Angeles Rams at Arizona Cardinals, $5,800

While quarterback has increasingly become a position where I care little about ownership, I wouldn’t expect Goff to be the most popular man in Week 13 on the heels of a truly underwhelming performance against the 49ers. Still, despite the recent struggles, the former first-overall pick profiles like an ideal GPP option. Goff isn’t an asset that comes without risk; however, he’s also managed to exceed 28.0 DKFP three times in 2020, all while sitting inside the league’s top 10 in drop backs (432), passing attempts (403) and 300-yard passing games (5). Strangely, Goff’s also been far more effective on the road this season, averaging 24.1 DKFP in his six starts away from home. By contrast, Goff’s produced just 12.1 DKFP per contest at the new SoFi Stadium. Regardless of how much stock you put into location, this matchup against a Cardinals defense that’s conceded the third-most DKFP to opposing QBs is solid and Goff could find himself in a shootout with the explosive Kyler Murray ($7,600) standing on the other sideline.


RUNNING BACK

Kenyan Drake, Arizona Cardinals vs. Los Angeles Rams, $5,700

If it wasn’t obvious before, I like the idea of stacking this matchup on Sunday. Both of these offenses have the capability of putting up huge numbers in any given week and each ranks inside the top seven of neutral situation pace — with the Cardinals actually sitting as the quickest unit in football by that particular metric. That means more drives, more plays and more possible fantasy points for all players involved. It’s not like volume has really been all that big an issue for Drake in his past three games, either. While it might be asking too much for the Alabama product to recreate his two-touchdown performance against the Patriots, Drake leads all running backs in the NFL with 16 red zone carries dating back to the beginning of Week 10. Is it coincidence that this sudden high-leverage opportunity has coincided with the aforementioned Murray nursing a shoulder injury? I don’t think so. Look for Drake to continue to get chances near the goal line this weekend, as he likely flirts with another 20-touch script.


WIDE RECEIVER

Darnell Mooney, Chicago Bears vs. Detroit Lions, $3,400

Obviously it was a low bar to clear — the Bears entered Sunday night’s contest against the Packers dead-last among NFC teams in yards and points per drive — but Chicago’s offense had a little bit of a spark with Mitchell Trubisky ($5,400) under center. With that being the case, I don’t think it’s insane to expect at least a league-average level of production from the passing attack in a matchup with a Lions defense that seems like it’s just given up. Not only has Detroit surrendered the third-most opponent passing plays of over 20 yards this season (42), but specifically across the past three games, the Lions are conceding an NFL-worst 8.2 yards per opponent pass attempt. This all sets up quite well for someone like Mooney, who has been very involved in the Bears’ system going back to Week 7. In that stretch of time, the rookie wideout has logged at least 80% of his team’s offensive snaps in every game, while he’s also maintained a 16.1 yard aDOT on 32 total targets. Heck, Mooney racked up nine targets and well over 100 air yards versus Green Bay alone. That’s quite the role for a wide receiver in a great spot priced this close to the minimum.


TIGHT END

Mike Gesicki, Miami Dolphins vs. Cincinnati Bengals, $4,200

As per usual, tight end is a wasteland in Week 13, but I am curious to see how an asset like Gesicki is treated as we get closer and closer to Sunday. With 11.5 DKFP against the Jets, Week 12 was the first game the Penn State product has scored double-digit fantasy points since all the way back in Week 5. Not surprisingly, this probably had a lot to do with Ryan Fitzpatrick ($6,000) starting at QB for the Dolphins, as Gesicki’s averaged a paltry 4.7 DKFP in the five contests in which Tua Tagovailoa ($5,900; thumb) has appeared in 2020. So that begs the question: Even in a matchup where Cincinnati has allowed the most DKFP to opposing TEs this season, will people be willing to trust Gesicki if Tua’s back in the fold? Count me among those eager to take the chance. While it’s entirely possible it’s Durham Smythe ($2,500) or Adam Shaheen ($2,500) that eventually find the end zone, Gesicki is a big play threat that’s averaging 15.0 yards per reception this season — the best qualified mark at his position. With the Bengals hemorrhaging points to opposing TEs, I don’t think it matters who’s starting for Miami this weekend.

Set your DraftKings fantasy football lineups here: NFL $3.5M Fantasy Football Millionaire [$1M to 1st]


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